Andre Ward vs Sergey Kovalev Betting Preview
Andre Ward vs Sergey Kovalev Betting Preview
This Saturday sees arguably the biggest and most 50/50 fight in the sport of boxing as the unbeaten American Andre Ward comes up against the unbeaten and current WBA Super, IBF and WBO Light Heavyweight Champion of the world Sergey Kovalev in Las Vegas.
This will be Kovalev’s fifth defence of all three titles and for the past couple of years it was expected that he was being lined up for a unification fight with WBC World Champ Adonis Stevenson. But two time Super Middleweight World Champion Ward recently decided to move up to the 175lbs division which has now set up a tantalising scrap with the Florida based Russian Kovalev.
Both fighters have had rather different amateur careers but have so far had almost identical professional careers with Ward winning every one of his 30 professional fights to date.Kovalev has won 30 of his 31 professional bouts with his one minor blip occurring in 2011 when an accidental head butt against Grover Young caused the fight to unfortunately result in a technical draw. Both fighters put in bang average performances last time out with Ward still managing to win every round against Alexander Brand and Kovalev taking his winning streak to 14 wins with a less than convincing points victory over Isaac Chilemba.
We’ll start off by reviewing the fighters styles. Ward is renowned across the globe for being a boxer, a stylish fighter with many of his traits being carried up from his strong amateur background in which he lost just five fights in 120 bouts winning the other 115. Ward can also hit hard, very hard, power which he probably doesn’t get the credit he deserves. But he prefers to outbox his opponents and wear them down the longer the fight goes on and this is shown by him having a 50% stoppage ratio with him going the 12 championship rounds on no less than nine times. Kovalev on the other hand is known as a big power puncher. He’s caused a stoppage in 26 of his 30 wins, most notably against Jean Pascal, twice, and the now WBA World Light Heavyweight champion Nathan Cleverly. A ridiculous 20 stoppages of Kovalev’s have come before the start of the 4th round, so it’s safe to say he has a tendency to start very quickly!
Where the fight will be won and lost?
For Ward, it’s pretty obvious but nothing is that easy in boxing. He will be looking to use his boxing expertise to try and combat his slightly shorter reach and more importantly, to try and stay away from that mean right hand of Kovalev’s. It’s likely that if Ward is going to win, it will be a points victory hence why the bookies has him at 8/11 to win and then 11/10 to win on points. But, as with Ward himself, we’ve never really seen Kovalev in trouble so it could be a case of who takes the initiative first and who takes the centre of the ring and controls the fight. Kovalev meanwhile will be looking to do what he does best and that’s stopping the fight from going to the judges. Kovalev’s main weapon will be his right hand, but his boxing skills all together are very underrated. His slick movement may cause Ward to struggle and to get his jab off and if he stops him from settling down and getting into a rhythm, the Russian will stand a real chance.
It really is a tough one to call. Do you go for the boxer or do you go for the fighter? For us, we’re siding with the fighter in Ward. Kovalev showed tremendous skill to outpoint the legend that is Bernard Hopkins almost two years ago to the day and if he manages to trump that performance with an equally as impressive display then the chances are he will cause Ward masses of trouble. But for us, Ward’s ability to control a fight with relative ease and his ability to not be fazed by anything that’s put in front of him makes us believe that the result really depends on how he fights. Ward has had the big fight experience against the likes of Carl Froch, Arthur Abraham and Mikkel Kessler whereas Kovalev has only really ever taken on Hopkins in a fight of that stature and we reckon this could play a big part. Ward to win is best priced 8/11 and for him to win on points is best priced 11/10, both at William Hill HERE.
New Betfair customers get Andre Ward to win at 6/1 – BET HERE
Who will win then? The boxer or the fighter? Tweet us in your prediction too @TeamFA and we will give them a retweet!
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