Liverpool’s take on Wolves in the Premier League this weekend, with the visitors still looking for their first win of the campaign.
- Date: 27/12/2025
- Kick-off: 3:00pm
- Location: Anfield, Liverpool
Liverpool come into the weekend 5th with 9 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 17 league matches, scoring 28 and conceding 25 (goal difference +3). Wolves sit 20th with 0 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses, having scored just 9 goals and conceded 37 for a goal difference of −28. Arne Slot’s side have taken 29 points and remain in touch with the Champions League places, while Wolves’ tally of 2 points underlines how difficult their season has been.
Across the league campaign, Liverpool average 1.65 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per match, giving an overall match‑goals figure of 3.12. Their last five Premier League games include high‑scoring defeats and wins, contributing to an overall pattern where 65% of their matches have finished over 2.5 goals and 59% have seen both teams score.
Wolves average 0.53 goals scored and 2.18 conceded per league match, for 2.71 total goals per game, with 47% of their fixtures going over 2.5 goals. BTTS has landed in 41% of their matches, evenly split between higher‑scoring defeats and more competitive games, but they have failed to score in 59% of outings overall. That recent scoring record, combined with a winless run of 17 league games, points to a side that rarely turns possession into clear chances and is often punished at the other end.
Liverpool’s home form is good: 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats at Anfield so far in the league. At home they score 1.63 and concede 1.13 goals per game, for a match‑goals average of 2.75, with over 2.5 goals landing in 50% of home fixtures and BTTS in 50%. They keep a clean sheet in 38% of home league games and fail to score in only 13%, underlining how reliable they are at finding at least one goal in front of their own support.
Wolves’ away form is very poor: 0 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats on the road. They score just 0.25 goals per away match and concede 1.75, for a 2.00 match‑goals average, with only 38% of their away fixtures going over 2.5 goals and BTTS hitting in 25%. They have failed to score in 75% of away league games and have yet to keep a clean sheet away from Molineux.
For the season overall, Liverpool’s matches have produced over 2.5 goals in 65% of games and BTTS in 59%, rising to 78% over 2.5 away from home but a steadier 50% at Anfield. Wolves’ matches show a more balanced split: 47% over 2.5 and 41% BTTS, with home games more prone to higher totals (56% over 2.5) than away fixtures (38% over 2.5 and 25% BTTS).
That combination suggests Liverpool matches are generally fertile ground for goals, while Wolves’ away numbers drag the BTTS probability down, as they fail to score in a high proportion of their road games. Statistically, the most plausible path to over 2.5 goals is Liverpool scoring multiple times rather than a high‑scoring contest from both sides, though Wolves’ defensive record means late goals are often a factor.
Recent league meetings are heavily tilted towards Liverpool. The last five Premier League clashes have all ended in Liverpool victories with scorelines of 2-1, 2-0, 3-1 and 2-0 twice, giving Liverpool five wins from five, 11 goals scored and 3 conceded. Three of those five produced over 2.5 goals, while BTTS landed in two (the 3-1 away win and one of the 2-1 results).
Liverpool 3-0 Wolves
