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West Ham vs. Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips

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      • (9') Lucas Paquetá
      • (32') J. Bowen
      • (52') A. Cresswell
      • (77') M. Kudus
      • (85') M. Kudus
        • (67') A. Cresswell
        • (73') E. Álvarez
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              West Ham vs. Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips

              West Ham's campaign in Europe is hanging in the balance as they attempt to overturn a one-goal deficit at home to Freiburg this week.

              Date: 14/03/2024

              Kick-off time: 17:45

              Location: London Stadium

              Under David Moyes, West Ham United has crafted a campaign filled with both promise and frustration. Positioned 7th in the Premier League with 43 points, the Hammers have demonstrated resilience and strategic acumen, yet their journey has not been devoid of criticism. Moyes, despite steering the club to commendable heights, faces dissatisfaction from segments of the fanbase over what's perceived as inconsistency and a lack of aesthetic appeal in the team's playing style.

              The first leg of their tie against Freiburg in Germany ended in disappointment, with West Ham succumbing to a late goal by Michael Gregoritsch, leaving them with a challenging task in the return leg. The Hammers, renowned for their formidable home record in European competitions, winning their last ten matches, must now harness this advantage to overturn the deficit.

              Key players like Edson Álvarez, Mohammed Kudus, Lucas Paquetá, and Jarrod Bowen represent the spine of Moyes' team, each bringing a blend of attacking prowess, X factor and defensive solidity to the table. Their previous encounter at this venue with Freiburg in the group stage earlier this season, which ended in a 2-0 victory, adds a layer of intrigue and hope for a repeat performance.

              SC Freiburg, nestled in 8th place in the Bundesliga with 33 points, may not replicate the heights of their previous season but remain a solid outfit under the stewardship of Christian Streich. The first-leg victory over West Ham was a testament to their tactical discipline and the ability to compete against good opposition, positioning them advantageously for the return fixture.

              Lucas Höler, Ritsu Doan, Vincenzo Grifo, and Matthias Ginter have been pivotal in Freiburg's campaign, proving they have enough talent at their disposal to do something memorable in this competition. Despite a setback at the same venue earlier in the season, Freiburg's respectable away record in the Europa League, with five wins in their last nine matches, will buoy their confidence.

              The prospect of reaching the quarter-final stage of a major European competition for the first time adds a historic dimension to Freiburg's ambitions, driving them to defy expectations and solidify their status on the continent.

              The tactical duel between Moyes and Streich will be central to the unfolding of this clash. Moyes, needing a victory by two clear goals, might adopt a more attacking approach, leveraging the creativity of Paquetá and the goal threat of Bowen, while maintaining defensive vigilance to thwart Freiburg's counter-attacks.

              Streich, aware of the slender lead his team possesses, will likely emphasize defensive organization, looking to exploit set-piece situations and the pace of his attackers on the break. The midfield battle, particularly the duel between Álvarez and Grifo, could dictate the tempo and control of the game, with both players capable of dominating a game in the middle of the park.

              As West Ham and Freiburg prepare to face off in this decisive Europa League fixture, the narrative extends beyond the 90 minutes. For West Ham, it's an opportunity to align their European performance with their Premier League campaign, overcoming adversity and criticism to secure a place in the next round. For Freiburg, it represents a chance to etch their name in the annals of European football, achieving a historic milestone having never reached the quarter-final stage of a major European competition before.

              Jarrod Bowen To Score First

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              Jarrod Bowen To Score First @ 7/2
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              West Ham To Score 2+ Goals

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              West Ham To Score 2+ Goals @ 5/6
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              West Ham In Extra Time

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              West Ham In Extra Time @ 17/2
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              Team News

              West Ham Team News:

              Emerson remains a doubt for the Hammers heading into this game after missing the last couple of matches with injury while Maxwel Cornet is a confirmed absentee.

              Kalvin Phillips started against Burnley at the weekend but will almost certainly lose his place to Edson Álvarez here, while James Ward-Prowse may also lose his spot in the team after a string of poor performances, with Lucas Paquetá potentially moving more centrally, with Bowen shifting out with and Michail Antonio coming in up top.

              Freiburg Team News:

              Freiburg themselves have a pretty clean bill of health with just Philipp Lienhart and Daniel-Kofi Kyereh expected to miss out here.

              The Bundesliga side will likely stick with the same XI that started the 1-0 win in the first leg.

              Form Guide (Last Five Games)

              West Ham's form has not been overly convincing in recent games as they enter this one having won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games. Most recently, the Hammers delivered a very suspect performance against Burnley, the side joint bottom of the Premier League table, and found themselves 0-2 down at half-time before salvaging the game through a goal from Lucas Paquetá and a stoppage-time equaliser from Danny Ings.

              West Ham have been prone to games like this all season and it means they're now coming into this one winless in their last two. In fact, West Ham's form has hit a prolonged dip as they come into this game having won only two of their last twelve games in all competitions.

              At home the Hammers haven't been any stronger either, as David Moyes' men come into this game having won just one of their last five games on home soil.

              Freiburg are coming into this game in solid form having won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five games. At the weekend, Freiburg ran out 2-1 winners away at relegation-threatened Bochum with goals from Maximilian Eggestein and Michael Gregoritsch sealing the three points.

              Freiburg are now on a good three-match run, in which they also drew 2-2 with Bayern Munich, but there are still concerns over their away form as the weekend's win over Bochum was their only away win in their last seven games on the road.

              Footy Accumulators Prediction

              This is a tough one to call as West Ham are clearly the superior outfit on paper but aren't in particularly great form. However, they ran Freiburg close in Germany without playing well at all and very arguably should have been awarded a penalty which likely would have changed the result. West Ham were very poor in the league last season but still performed in Europe when it mattered, and if you look at the two sides' form over the last ten games it's not hugely different. Ultimately, West Ham's experience of reaching the latter stage of European competition over the course of the last two seasons coupled with home advantage and more quality on the pitch should see them over the line here, but only just. We predict: West Ham 3-1 Freiburg (AET).

              Don’t forget to check out the rest of our previews, tips and offers for this weekend’s action. Footy Accumulators is the #1 football betting site for the latest on betting in the UK - download the Betting Hub app for more!

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              Where To Watch

              TNT Sports 1 will provide full coverage live from 17:00 for all subscribed U.K. viewers while BBC Radio 5 Live will provide coverage of the events, with full radio commentary also live on the talkSPORT app.