The AESSEAL New York Stadium is the venue for a season-defining game on Saturday afternoon as Birmingham City will be looking to distance themselves from the relegation zone by securing victory over already-relegated Rotherham United.
Following a dismal season, Rotherham have already been relegated from the Championship having gained just 23 points from their 43 league games this campaign. The Millers are currently on the same amount of points as the lowest recorded Championship points tally, a record which they recorded in the 2016/17 campaign.
In their last league game, Rotherham United’s hopes of a rare point on the road were dashed by an unfortunate own goal from Andy Rinomhota as Swansea City ran out narrow victors in South Wales. This result meant that Rotherham’s woeful goalscoring record continued, with the Millers having scored just one goal in their last nine outings.
With just three games left in their season, Birmingham City will be aiming to pick up a vital three points in order to ensure their survival. The Blues are currently just one point above the relegation zone, having picked up 45 points from their 43 league games. The bottom half of the table is very congested, with there being just three points separating 23rd and 19th places.
Last time out, Gary Rowett’s side beat play-off chasing neighbours Coventry City to improve their Championship survival hopes. Coventry defender Bobby Thomas's own goal unsettled the visitors, before Ivan Sunjic fired in his first goal in almost two years, then Blues top scorer Jay Stansfield netted from close range.
Rotherham vs Birmingham has a long history, with the two sides having first met each other in 1951. In total, the two sides have met each other on 38 occasions, with Birmingham having the far superior record having won 20 games against the Millers.
In recent years, Birmingham have dominated this fixture and they have only been defeated on one occasion in the last ten meetings between the two sides. Out of these ten games, the Blues have won five, two of which came at the New York Stadium.
It was a dull game when these sides met each other earlier on in the campaign. Birmingham’s best chances came through Krystian Bielik and Cody Dramah, whilst Oliver Rathbone was denied for the Millers as the game finished goalless.
Given Rotherham's recent performances, it's not surprising that Birmingham City are strongly favoured in this upcoming match, with odds currently at ⅗ for their win. The odds for a Rotherham home victory currently stand at 9/2, and a draw is priced at 3/1.
We are backing Birmingham to win and under 2.5 goals in the match because this is often a low scoring fixture. None of the last five meetings between the two sides have resulted in over 2.5 goals.
Rotherham also have the worst goalscoring record in the Championship this season, having scored just 32 league goals so we expect this to be another low scoring affair.