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Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips

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Middlesbrough

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George Green
Published 10 May 2026, 22:16| Updated at 10 May 2026, 22:52

Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction

With a place at Wembley at stake, Southampton and Middlesbrough will lock horns on the South Coast this week in the second leg of their Championship play-off semi-final.

The Saints enter this game on a tear, losing just one of their last 24 games, which was against Manchester City in the FA Cup semi-final. They've won seven of their last ten games and on home soil, they've won six of their last eight.

Southampton are one of the most consistently entertaining sides in the division, with over 2.5 goals being scored in 90% of their last ten games. Similarly, BTTS has occurred in 80% of their last ten outings.

The Saints have their fair share of attacking talent, and Cyle Larin is in good goalscoring form, scoring three times in his last five games and five goals in his last nine.

Given just how strong their form has been, Southampton will be confident about getting the job done in front of their own fans.

Middlesbrough will be kicking themselves at what they'll feel was a missed opportunity last week. Boro were the dominant side at the Riverside but were unable to convert their dominance into goals, such has been their story this season.

They now have to head to one of the trickiest venues in the division and come away with a win, and given they've won only twice in their last 11 outings, the odds aren't in their favour. Boro have been missing star man Hayden Hackney for a number of weeks and their side has suffered as a consequence.

60% of Boro's last ten games have seen BTTS occur, while 50% of their last ten have seen over 2.5 goals scored. Boro never set up to play conservatively under Kim Hellberg, so this should be an open game.

However, it's hard to see past Southampton getting over the line on home soil, so we fancy them to win what should be an entertaining game.

Southampton 2-1 Middlesbrough

Southampton vs Middlesbrough Match Preview

  • Date: 12/05/2026
  • Kick-off: 8:00pm
  • Location: St Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Where to Watch Southampton vs Middlesbrough

This game will be televised live to all subscribed UK viewers on Sky Sports Main Event.

Header logoChampionship

PosClubPWDLGDPTS
1
Team logoCoventry
4628117+5295
2
Team logoIpswich
4623158+3384
3
Team logoMillwall
46241111+1583
4
Team logoSouthampton
46221410+2680
5
Team logoMiddlesbrough
46221410+2580
6
Team logoHull
46211015+473
7
Team logoWrexham
46191413+471
8
Team logoDerby
4620917+869
9
Team logoNorwich
4619819+765
10
Team logoBirmingham
46171316+164
11
Team logoSwansea
46181018-264
12
Team logoBristol City
46171118062
13
Team logoSheff Utd
4618622060
14
Team logoPreston
46151516-760
15
Team logoQPR
46161020-1258
16
Team logoWatford
46141517-1257
17
Team logoStoke
46151021-555
18
Team logoPortsmouth
46141319-1555
19
Team logoCharlton
46131419-1453
20
Team logoBlackburn
46131320-1452
21
Team logoWest Bromwich
46131419-1051
22
Team logoOxford
46111421-1447
23
Team logoLeicester
46121618-1046
24
Team logoSheff Wed
4621232-600
Last updated  13/05/2026