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Roma vs. Milan: Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

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      • (12') G. Mancini
      • (22') P. Dybala
      • (85') M. Gabbia
        Yellow Card
        • (46') M. Gabbia
        • (51') Y. Adli
        • (77') L. Jović
        • (86') D. Calabria
        • (89') F. Tomori
        • (92') T. Hernández
        • (31') Z. Çelik
        Red Card

          Roma vs. Milan Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

          A thrilling contest awaits in the Italian capital as AS Roma prepare to host AC Milan for the second leg of the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals this Thursday at the Stadio Olimpico. With the first leg at San Siro having concluded with a narrow 1-0 victory for Roma, the stakes are tremendously high. The upcoming match is not just a clash between two Italian giants, but a pivotal moment that could potentially define their seasons.

          Date: 18/06/2024

          Kick-off time: 19:45

          Location: Stadio Olimpico

          Under the guidance of Daniele De Rossi, appointed as manager in January, Roma have undergone a period of significant resurgence. Currently positioned 5th in Serie A with 55 points, the team have been knitting a series of impressive performances, underpinned by a change in style and a burgeoning spirit. This resurgence is timely, given their ambitions on the European stage.

          Roma’s journey in this season's Europa League has been marked by a strategic and determined approach, which was evident in their first-leg performance against Milan. Gianluca Mancini's early goal, a well-executed header from a Paulo Dybala corner, set the tone for what was to follow. Despite Milan’s dominance in possession and attempts on goal for the remainder of the match, Roma's defence stood firm, showcasing a combination of grit and organisation.

          This defensive solidity will be crucial as Roma aim to reach the semi-finals of a major European competition for the fourth time in the last four seasons. Yet, despite their advantage and recent form, a sense of caution lingers; Roma have struggled in recent times against Milan at the Stadio Olimpico, with their last four encounters resulting in three wins for Milan and one draw. This statistic will no doubt be in the minds of both the players and the technical team as they prepare for the upcoming challenge.

          For AC Milan, the current season has been a mixture of solid performances and a few missed opportunities, particularly in Serie A where they are second with 68 points, having nearly conceded the title to Inter Milan. Their focus is now largely on the Europa League—a competition they have never won, despite their rich history in European football.

          The defeat at San Siro in the first leg was a setback, especially given Milan's form entering the game. The team’s reaction in the second leg will be crucial as they look to overturn the deficit and keep their European dreams alive. Olivier Giroud’s missed opportunity in the dying moments of the first leg, where he struck the crossbar from close range, epitomises the frustration Milan felt at the end of that encounter.

          Milan's approach to the second leg will need to be one of controlled aggression. They will need to balance their attacking intent with defensive stability to avoid exposing themselves to Roma’s counter-attacks. The key might lie in their ability to exploit the wings, particularly through players like Samuel Chukwueze, who has shown he can be a vital asset in breaking down stubborn defences.

          Daniele De Rossi is likely to continue with a strategy that emphasises defensive cohesion and exploiting opportunities from set pieces, as evidenced by their goal in the first leg. The role of Paulo Dybala (if fit) will be critical, both in terms of creativity and in executing dead-ball situations. Roma’s midfield, featuring the likes of Bryan Cristante and Lorenzo Pellegrini, will be pivotal in breaking up Milan’s play and initiating counter-attacks.

          Stefano Pioli, the Milan coach, will need to devise a plan that enhances his team's offensive capabilities without leaving them vulnerable at the back. Rafael Leão, with his pace and ability to drive at defenders, could be key to unlocking Roma’s defense.

          This match is the biggest game of the season for both sides. For Roma, a victory would solidify De Rossi's impact and potentially set the stage for a deeper run in the tournament. For Milan, it's an opportunity to salvage their season with European success and perhaps lay a foundation for future glories.

          Both Teams To Score

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          Yes @ 8/13
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          Milan To Win Either Half

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          Milan To Win Either Half @ 8/11
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          Draw @ 5/2
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          Team News

          Roma Team News:

          Sardar Azmoun is likely to be Roma's only absentee for this game.

          Evan Ndicka missed the first leg for Roma and could come back into the starting lineup to partner Gianluca Mancini at the heart of the defence.

          Paulo Dybala should be fresh and ready for Daniele De Rossi after being rested at the weekend, with the home side not likely to make many changes to the side that started the first leg.

          Milan Team News:

          Fikayo Tomori missed the first leg through suspension but will very likely start alongside Matteo Gabbia at centre-back.

          Milan won't make many changes to their XI that began the game at San Siro, with midfielder Yacine Adli the only realistic contender outside of Tomori to be drafted into the lineup.

          Pierre Kalulu, Alejandro Jiménez and Tommaso Pobega will all miss out through injury.

          Form Guide

          Roma's form is very good as they enter this game unbeaten in their last four matches having won three and drawn one of those. The 1-0 win over Milan was preceded by a gutsy 1-0 win over fierce rivals Lazio, where yet another big goal from defender Gianluca Mancini proved to be the match-winner as he headed in a Paulo Dybala corner.

          Prior to that, Roma were disappointingly held to a 0-0 draw away at Lecce, a result that followed a 1-0 win over Sassuolo, which came courtesy of a Lorenzo Pellegrini goal. Roma's defence has been near impenetrable in this period, with De Rossi's side having kept four clean sheets on the spin.

          Their last defeat came at the hands of Brighton & Hove Albion, but even that is not a loss that should be taken too seriously considering it came in the second leg of a tie they already held a 4-0 lead in.

          Despite defeat in the first leg, Milan's form is still very commendable, with the Rossoneri's form is still very good as they enter this game having won seven of their last eight games. Milan entered the loss to Roma last win on a seven-game winning streak, with Stefano Pioli's men having beaten Lecce 3-0 a few days prior–thanks to goals from Christian Pulisic, Olivier Giroud and, Rafael Leão–which followed three consecutive wins away from home against Fiorentina (2-1), Verona (3-1) and Slavia Prague (3-1), with the likes of Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Christian Pulisic and Rafalel Leão getting on the scoresheet in these games.

          Milan's winning streak also so them turn over Empoli (1-0), with the goal coming from Christian Pulisic, Slavia Prague (4-2), thanks to goals from Giroud, Tijjani Reijnders, Loftus-Cheek and Pulisic, and Lazio (1-0), with the winner in that game coming from Noah Okafor.

          Footy Accumulators Prediction

          Just like the first leg, this should be a closely fought contest with the result likely to be equally close. Roma were defending deep for the majority of the first leg and while they'll likely come out of their shell a bit more in front of their own fans they'll probably still spend large portions of the game on the backfoot. It's not likely they keep Rafael Leão and co out for 180 minutes but they should see out the job on their own patch. Roma 1-1 Milan.

          Don’t forget to check out the rest of our previews, tips and offers for this weekend’s action. Footy Accumulators is the #1 football betting site for the latest on betting in the UK - download the Betting Hub app for more!

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          Header logoSerie A

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          Last updated 23/05/2024

          Where To Watch

          This game will be aired live for all subscribed U.K. viewers on TNT Sports 4.