AC Milan vs AS Roma Prediction & Betting Tips

AC Milan host AS Roma at the San Siro this Sunday in a big weekend of Serie A football. Milan needs the three points to get themselves back in the conversation for the Serie A title, whereas Roma needs a win to close in on a spot in some form of European football.

• AC Milan and Roma to draw @ 11/5 on Paddy Power
• Over 2.5 goals @ 6/5 on William Hill
• Both teams to score @ 4/5 on Paddy Power

These odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change

Date: 14/01/2024

Kick-off time: 19:45

Location: San Siro

Where to watch?: DAZN

The Serie A sees AC Milan take on Roma this weekend. The table is already wide open with 11 points already between AC Milan and Roma and 21 points covering top to 10th place. This means that a win this weekend is necessary to close in on either the title race or European football.

AC Milan currently sit third in the Serie A after 19 games. The Rossoneri have 12 wins, three draws and four losses, leaving them on 39 points, seven points from second-place Juventus and nine points from top-of-the-table Inter Milan.

Milan has one of the best attacks in the league with 35 goals in 19 games, which means AC Milan averages 1.84 goals a game. However, their defence is not their biggest point of confidence. Milan have conceded 20 goals so far this season and have eight clean sheets, giving them only the sixth-best defence in the league.

Roma, on the other hand, currently sit eighth in Serie A. In 19 games, Roma have eight wins, five draws and six losses which leaves them on 29 points, three points from the Europa League places and four points from the Champions League spots.

Jose Mourinho has set his team up with the third-best attack in the Serie A, having already scored 30 goals in 19 games. However, at the other end of the pitch, Roma are ranked tenth for the number of goals conceded, having conceded 20 in 19 games and only keeping five clean sheets.

AC Milan and Roma have met 55 times in their histories, with Milan having a slight advantage in the fixture. The Rossoneri have 20 wins in comparison to Roma’s 16 wins, with a draw more common than a Roma win, happening on 19 occasions.

This fixture usually features a lot of goals, with 56% of the games ending with over 2.5 goals, with Milan scoring 76 times and Roma finding the back of the net 73 times over the years.

AC Milan Team News

Stefano Pioli has a laundry list of injuries. Pierre Kalulu, Mattia Caldara, Tommaso Pobega, Marco Sportiello, Malick Thiaw, Fikayo Tomori, Noah Okafor and Rade Krunic are all unavailable.

To make matters worse, Ismael Bennacer and Samuel Chukwueze have been called up for Algeria and Nigeria respectively for the African Cup of Nations.

AS Roma Team News

Mourinho also has a couple of injuries to manage. Tammy Abraham, Chris Smalling, Renato Sanches and Marash Kumbulla are all out.

Roma also lost a number of players to international competitions, with Evan Ndicka, Houssem Aouar and Sardar Azmoun all unavailable.

In their last five games in all competitions, AC Milan have four wins and one draw.

Tijjani Reijnders opened the scoring in the third minute and Jan-Carlo Simic doubled the lead for Milan just before halftime. Despite Monza having 55% of the possession and 21 shots, Okafor scored in the second half to secure a 3 - 0 win for AC Milan.

Tomori put AC Milan ahead in the 17th minute but Federico Fazio drew Salernitana level before the halftime whistle. Antonio Candreva then put Salernitana ahead midway through the second half and despite having 21 shots with nine of them on target, Milan had to wait until the 90th minute to find the equaliser, Luka Jovic finding the back of the net. Salernitana’s Vincenzo Fiorillo’s 94th-minute red card and the stage of the game meant both sides had to settle for a 2 - 2 draw.

Christian Pulisic scored the only goal of the game in the 59th minute for a 1 - 0 win over Sassuolo, with Milan only managing two shots on target out of 20.

In the Round of 16 of the Coppa Italia, AC Milan hosted Cagliari. Paulo Azzi did manage to score for Cagliari in the 87th minute, but it was much too late as Jovic had already grabbed a brace and was joined on the scoresheet by Chaka Traore and Rafael Leao in the 4 - 1 win for Milan.

Empoli only had two shots on target as Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Olivier Giroud and Traore all scored in the dominant 3 - 0 win for AC Milan.

AC Milan also faces Atalanta in the Quarter-final of the Coppa Italia this Wednesday.

In their last five games in all competitions, Roma have two wins, one draw and two losses.

Roma could only manage eight shots with three shots on target against Bologna. For this they were punished as Nikola Moro grabbed a goal in the first half and an own goal from Rasmus Kristensen wrapped up a 2 - 0 win for Bologna.

Mourinho’s men bounced back next time out against Napoli. Lorenzo Pellegrini and Romelu Lukaku both scored in the second half for the 2 - 0 win as Napoli finished the game with just nine men as Matteo Politano and Victor Osimhen were both sent off.

Adrien Rabiot scored the only goal of the game just minutes into the second half to give Juventus the 1 - 0 win over Roma, with Roma only managing two shots on target in 90 minutes.

In the Round of 16 of the Coppa Italia, Roma hosted Cremonese. Frank Tsadjout put the Serie B side ahead in the first half, but a goal from Lukaku and a penalty from Paulo Dybala gave Roma the 2 - 1 win.

Roma went behind first again, this time against Atalanta, with Teun Koopmeiners giving Atalanta the lead in the eighth minute. Dybala converted another penalty to grab the 1 - 1 draw and a point for Roma.

Roma also face Lazio in the Quarter-finals of the Coppa Italia this Wednesday.

Both sides are proficient in front of goal and can be liable to leak goals at the back, that’s why a draw with both teams scoring is a likely outcome this weekend.

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