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AC Monza vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips

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          Monza vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips

          Monza host Napoli at the weekend with both teams looking to finish the remainder of the season strongly. Napoli have the chance to strengthen their chances of European qualification against a Monza side who are comfortable in mid-table.

          Date: 07/04/2024

          Location: Stadio Brianteo

          Kick-off: 14:00 pm

          AC Monza are enjoying life in Serie A being a stable outfit within the division. The club were promoted from Serie B in 2022 for the first time in their history. Before their promotion, Monza had competed for 40 seasons in the second tier of Italian Football; the most of any side without ever being promoted.

          During their debut season, it was a resounding success. Monza finished 11th under head coach Raffaele Palladino with a respectable 52 points. That points tally was the highest amongst newly promoted sides across Europe’s top five leagues and the second-highest point tally for a Serie A debut in history.

          This season Monza are set to record another finish outside the relegation places and once again finish mid-table. The hosts for this game are once again 11th after 30 games played in Serie A this season. Palladino’s side have obtained 42 points from those 30 games, which averages to 1.4 points per game gained.

          Monza have eight games left to possibly better their tally of last season and to do so they would need 13 points from the remaining 24 points currently available. Their attacking and defensive output is what you would expect from a mid-table side. Monza have scored 32 goals in 30 games – averaging 1.06 goals per game. Defensively, they have conceded slightly more with 37 – which averages at 1.23 goals conceded per game.

          Monza could throw themselves into the hunt for a potential European place with a win over Napoli. The home side are only four points adrift from Lazio in seventh place and could move within a point if results go their way. Three points also separate Napoli and Monza for this game but Napoli will still have the goal difference advantage over Monza regardless.

          The reigning champions Napoli have endured a disappointing campaign in defence of their title. Rudi Garcia was brought in to replace Luciano Spalletti who failed to achieve the same heights previously and was dismissed. Napoli then replaced him with current Slovakia manager Francesco Calzona, who also had spells with Napoli as an assistant manager and technical coach.

          Napoli’s disappointing campaign is shown by the fact they are currently in eighth place and 31 points adrift of the team that will take their title in Inter Milan. Calzona’s men are a point behind Lazio in the hunt for European places. Although with UEFA’s new system regarding coefficient ranking, it remains to be seen whether Italy are awarded the extra European place.

          Napoli last season ended their title-winning campaign on four losses and this season they already have over double that with eight games to go. Their overall form reads that they have 12 wins, nine losses and nine draws in 30 games.

          The reigning champions have obtained 45 points so far, his season – which gives them an average of 1.5 points per game. 44 goals scored throughout the season, gives them an almost identical average to their points gained. Following the sale of Kim Min Jae in the summer, their defence has suffered having conceded eight more goals at this stage than they did in the entirety.

          Monza’s record against Napoli is even across the board with both teams winning once against each other and drawing the remaining one. The 0-0 draw between the two sides took place in December. Napoli won the first encounter 4-0 with Monza securing a 2-0 at the end of last season.

          Serie A Tips

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          Napoli to win @ 17/20
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          Serie A Tips

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          Both Teams to Score @ 8/13
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          Serie A Tips

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          Napoli to win Both Halves @ 2/1
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          Team News

          Monza Team News

          Samuele Vignato, Danilo D’Ambrosio and Davide Bettella are going to be missing the game through injury. Papu Gomez remains unavailable because of a global ban.

          Napoli Team News

          There are no injury concerns whatsoever. Victor Osimhen and Stanislav Lobotka are at risk of suspension.

          Recent form

          Monza came into this game on the back of some very respectable form over the last five games. In their last five in the league, Monza have won three and lost the remaining two games. They most recently lost their last game against Torino. Monza were down to ten men from the 72nd minute which didn’t aid their cause.

          Monza’s last home game brought about a win over Cagliari. In the 42nd minute, the on-loan midfielder from AC Milan Daniel Maldini was on hand to secure the win with the only goal of the game.

          Their home form is considered quite average regarding other teams. Monza have won six, drawn five and lost five of the 15 home games they have played so far. Andrea Calponi will be the one to look for at the weekend for the home side. Calponi has scored eight goals in the league this season. Calponi’s represent 25% of the overall Monza goal output this season.

          Napoli have the worst form out of the two teams heading into this game. Calzona’s side have won two out of their last five Serie A games and have accumulated eight points from their last 15 points available to them.

          In their most recent game against Atalanta, Napoli were comfortably put to the sword in an embarrassing defeat at home. Napoli lost the game 3-0 to leave them eighth in the league. The last away game however did bring a credible draw. Two weeks prior, the reigning champions travelled to the league leaders Inter Milan and secured a 1-1 draw. Former Inter Milan defender Juan Jesus scored the equaliser that day for Napoli.

          Napoli’s away form is just marginally better than their home record this season. Six wins, four draws and five losses this season for the champions as it stands with an away xG of 1.54 goals per match.

          Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has suffered a slight drop in form this season but the Georgian has still notched up respective numbers. Kvaratskhelia currently has 14 goal contributions this season, only eight from matching his tally last season.

          Header logoSerie A

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          Team logoMonza
          Team logoGenoa
          Last updated 19/04/2024

          Header logoSerie A

          Team logoAtalanta
          Team logoNapoli
          Team logoTorino
          Last updated 19/04/2024

          Where to watch

          The game will be broadcast on TNT Sports 2.