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Panama vs Mexico Prediction & Betting Tips


Panama vs Mexico Prediction & Betting Tips

Panama welcome Mexico to the AT&T Stadium this Friday in the CONCACAF Nations League Play-offs. Both teams are looking for the win to book their place in the Final of the Nations League.

Date: 22/03/2024

Kick-off time: 02:15 (GMT)

Location: AT&T Stadium

The clash between Panama and Mexico does lead to the Final where both sides will be eager to get their hands on a trophy. Being in the Semi-final has already booked their place at the Copa America but a win can bring good momentum into the competition this summer.

Panama were drawn into Group A where they faced Trinidad and Tobago, Martinique, Guatemala, Curacao and El Salvador. In four games, Panama picked up three wins and one draw, finishing top of the group and unbeaten. From there Panama progressed into the Quarter-finals where they beat Costa Rica over two legs.

The Canal Men have only competed in the Copa America once back in 2016. Panama were drawn into Group D with Argentina, Chile and Bolivia. However, with just one win and two losses in three games, Panama crashed out at the group stage.

Mexico, on the other hand, were granted access straight to the Quarter-final stage. This is due to their CONCACAF ranking, of which Mexico currently sit top with 1,909 points, 73 more points than second-place United States. El Tricolour then beat Honduras over two legs to book their place in the Semi-finals.

El Tricolour have competed in the Copa America on ten occasions, but have been out of the competition since 2016 due to not being invited. However, CONCACAF nations can now compete and Mexico look to beat their best ever finish of runners-up, where they finished in 1993 and 2001.

Panama and Mexico have met 42 times in their histories, the first meeting coming back in an international friendly in 1937. Mexico has the far better record in the fixture with 25 wins in comparison to Panama’s five wins. In fact, a draw is far more common than a Panama win, happening on 12 occasions.

The last five games in all competitions, there have been four wins for Mexico and one draw. This tie rarely sees a lot of goals and usually sees just one team on the scoresheet. Only one game in the last six meetings has seen both teams finding the back of the net.

Mexico to win @ 11/20 on William Hill

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Mexico to win @ 11/20

Only one team to score @ 13/20 on Paddy Power

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Only one team to score @ 13/20

Over 2.5 goals @ 13/10 on William Hill

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Over 2.5 goals @ 13/10

Team News

Panama Team News

Thomas Christiansen has called upon many of his usual suspects, including the likes of Fidel Escobar, Alberto Quintero and Anibal Godoy, with the latter two amongst the players with the most caps for Panama.

Mexico Team News

Jaime Lozano’s squad includes big names like Guillermo Ochoa, Edson Alvarez and Hirving Lozano. However, it’s too close to his return from a hamstring injury for a call up for Raul Jimenez.

Recent Form

In their last five games in all competitions, Panama have four wins and one draw.

The second game of the Nations League group stage saw Panama travel to the Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores to take on Guatemala. Panama took an early lead through Eric Davis’ seventh-minute penalty but Oscar Santis levelled the game with 20 minutes to go. Neither team could convert any of their four shots on target as teh game finished a 1 - 1 draw.

Panama were back to winning ways against Curacao. A goal from Edgar Yoal Barcenas Herrera in the 29th minute gave Panama the 1 - 0 lead at halftime. Jose Luis Rodriguez doubled the lead for Panama and even with a 95th-minute goal from Curacao’s Rangelo Janga, Panama held on for the 2 - 1 win.

Another clash with Guatemala saw Panama take a 1 - 0 lead into halftime, this time Adalberto Carrasquilla scoring in the 14th minute. Guatemala’s Nicolas Samayoa was sent off just two minutes into the second half and Davis converted the resulting penalty to double the lead. Abdiel Ayarza then added another to give Panama the 3 - 0 win.

The first leg of the Quarter-finals saw Panama travel to Costa Rica. Michael Amir Murillo and Jose Fajardo both scored in the first half to give Panama the 2 - 0 lead at halftime. Cecilio Waterman scored in the second half as Panama took a 3 - 0 lead into the second leg.

The Canal Men were on home turf for the second leg and grabbed another three goals. Fajardo, Rodriguez and Herrera all scored in the first half and despite an early second half goal from Francisco Calvo, Panama secured the 3 - 1 win, 6 - 1 on aggregate.

In their last five games in all competitions, Mexico have two wins, one draw and two losses.

An international friendly saw Mexico host Ghana. El Tricolour restricted Ghana to zero shots on target as goals from Lozano and Uriel Antuna both scored in the second half for a 2 - 0 win.

Another friendly saw Mexico take on Germany. Antonio Rudiger opened the scoring for Germany but Antuna scored to make it level at the halftime whistle. Erick Sanchez then gave Mexico the lead two minutes into the second half but an immediate response from Niclas Fullkrug forced a 2 - 2 draw.

The first leg of the Nations League Quarter-final saw Mexico travel to Honduras. Despite Mexico having 65% of the possession they only managed two shots on target as goals from Anthony Lozano and Bryan Rochez gave Honduras the 2 - 0 win.

The reverse fixture saw Luis Chavez open the scoring for Mexico and Alvarez grabbed another in the 11th minute of added time at the end of the game. Enrique Facusse was then sent off in the 13th minute of extra time as the tie went to extra time. Denial Maldonado was also sent off in extra time but no more goals meant penalties. Andy Najar and Bryan Rochez both missed as Mexico grabbed a 4 - 2 win and a spot in the Semi-finals.

The most recent outing for Mexico was against Colombia. Mexico had a 2 - 0 lead early in the second half through Omar Govea and Guillermo Martinez Ayala. However, goals from Andres Reyes, Roger Martinez and Andres Gomez gave Colombia the 3 - 2 win.

Footy Accumulators Prediction

Where to watch

Panama vs Mexico will not be broadcasted in the U.K. but can be followed online on BBC Sport or Sky Sports.