Brentford vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips

Brentford host European chasing Brighton as they hope for three points in their bid to secure Premier League football for another season.

Date: 03/04/24

Kick-off time: 19:30

Venue: Gtech Community Stadium

In what has been a disappointing season for Brentford, they have suffered through numerous injuries and consistencies which has left them lingering around the bottom six of the table. They are currently 15th, but are just five points above the relegation zone, a position made even more precarious following their 1-1 draw at home to Manchester United at the weekend. Whilst they snatched a point at the death, it will feel like two lost given their superiority throughout the game. Victory against Brighton could give them some much needed breathing room, but defeat would drag them into deeper trouble as they nervously look over their shoulders.

Brighton are ninth, but are just two points behind seventh place West Ham with a game in hand. Despite defeat to Liverpool in their last game, they are still in a good position to fight for another season of European football. Three points may allow them to close the gap on teams above depending on other results, however a loss could mean they fall further behind.

The Bees have scored in each of their last five games, and should expect to continue this streak against a Brighton defence who have conceded 10 goals in their last five away games. In the 11 games since his return from a ban, Ivan Toney has contributed four goals and an assist, and will be the side’s main goal threat. They have also been given a huge boost with top scorer Bryan Mbeumo returning in the last two games. Thomas Frank’s side also have a shaky defence, allowing at least two goals in four of the last five.

Since 2021, these two sides have faced off five times in the Premier League. Brighton have been the better team, winning three and losing just once. The one draw was a thrilling 3-3 at the back-end of last season. The teams exchanged goals, but Alexis Mac Allister converted a 90th minute penalty to salvage a point. Earlier this season, Brighton won 2-1 at the Amex as the hosts came from behind. Mbeumo opened the scoring from the spot, but goals from Pascal Gross and Jack Hinshelwood turned it around.

Brentford

Brentford have a number of long-term injuries, but a couple may return very soon. It may be too early for Ethan Pinnock and Christian Norgaard, but they are progressing well in their recoveries. Sergio Reguilon is available to return after serving a suspension for a red card.

Brighton

Kaoru Mitoma has a back injury which will keep him out for the remainder of the season. Solly March has a knee injury with an unspecified return date. Joao Pedro could return from a long-term thigh injury.

Brentford

In their last five games, Brentford have lost three and drawn two. The Bees are in a precarious position in the table amidst this difficult run. Their most recent game was at home to Man United. The game finished 1-1, but they should have won all three points. They had plenty of opportunities with 31 shot attempts. United thought they had won it at the death when Mason Mount netted a 96th minute goal, but Brentford responded almost immediately through Kristoffer Ajer to salvage a draw, which was the least they deserved.

Their last game before the international break was a narrow 2-1 defeat at 19th place Burnley, though their task was made difficult after Sergio Reguilon was sent off after eight minutes. Jacob Bruun Larsen scored from the resulting penalty before David Datro Fofana doubled the lead in the second half. Ajer pulled one back late on but they were unable to complete the comeback.

This followed another tight game as they gave title challenging Arsenal some issues. Declan Rice gave the hosts the lead, but Yoane Wissa took advantage of a howler by goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale to equalise. They looked set to hold the Gunners to a draw, but Kai Havertz scored a winner in the 86th minute.

They picked up a point at home to Chelsea, as the two sides exchanged leads in a 2-2 draw. The Blues went ahead through Nicolas Jackson, but Brentford turned it around in the second half with goals from Mads Roerslev and Wissa. Axel Disasi levelled the score late on. The first game of this stretch was a 4-2 loss at West Ham. Their opponents were 2-0 up after seven minutes, but Neal Maupay responded immediately to pull one back. Jarrod Bowen completed a hat-trick before Emerson capped it off with a sublime finish. Wissa scored a consolation with less than 10 to go.

Brighton

In their last five games, Brighton have won two and lost three. It has been a mixed run for a Brighton side fighting for another season of European football. The stretch began with a 3-0 loss at Fulham. Goals from Harry Wilson and Rodrigo Muniz gave the hosts a commanding 2-0 lead at the break. Despite Brighton dominating possession, they could not get on the scoresheet, and the rout was complete in stoppage time as Adama Traore tacked on another goal.

This preceded an even more crushing loss as they were defeated 4-0 at Roma in the first leg of their Europa League Round of 16 tie. Four different players found the back of the net, with Paulo Dybala, Romelu Lukaku, Gianluca Mancini and Bryan Cristante all on the scoresheet. The second leg came a week later, and with the tie all but over, it was all about pride for the Seagulls. They got the win thanks to a first half Danny Welbeck goal, though they did come up against a second string Roma side.

Between these legs, they picked up three points in a narrow 1-0 win over Nottingham Forest. They had just three shots on target, but the winner came from the opposition as Andrew Omobamidele converted into his own net. Their most recent outing was a trip to Anfield, in which they lost 2-1 against Liverpool. They were in front after just 90 seconds as Danny Welbeck scored. The hosts turned it around with goals from Luis Diaz and Mo Salah.

Brentford are in a precarious position near the bottom of the table whilst Brighton fight for Europe. However, the Seagulls have been very inconsistent, opening the door for the hosts to pick up a result. With home advantage, we expect Brentford to record a crucial win – Brentford 2-1 Brighton

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Brentford vs Brighton will be available to watch on TNT Sports 3.

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