Newcastle have their eye on securing their place in the knockout stage of the Champions League as they face PSV Eindhoven this week.
- Date: 21/01/2026
- Kick-off: 8:00pm
- Location: St James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle come into the game 12th in the league‑phase table, with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their six matches so far, leaving them just outside the top‑eight automatic qualification places. Their domestic form has been patchy, with a dramatic FA Cup shoot‑out win over Bournemouth and a 102nd‑minute winner against Leeds having been offset by a home defeat to Manchester City and a goalless draw against bottom‑club Wolves.
Statistically, Newcastle remain strongly associated with goals. In the Premier League 2025-26, their xG for sits at 1.57 per match overall and 1.71 at home, with xG against at 1.29 (1.30 at St James’ Park), showing a team that creates plenty and concedes more than a top team ideally would. Betting-stats data shows both teams scoring in 62% of their matches across competitions and a high proportion of fixtures going over 2.5 goals, consistent with those xG numbers and recent high‑scoring wins against Leeds (4-3) and Crystal Palace (2-0) as well as the 3-3 FA Cup tie with Bournemouth. At home, the pattern has been particularly pronounced, with most games featuring sustained pressure, double‑digit shot counts and a tendency for matches to become stretched in the second half.
PSV arrive with an away profile that is, if anything, even more dramatic. In the Eredivisie, PSV’s matches have produced over 2.5 goals in 82% of fixtures, significantly above the league average of 55%, and half of their games have gone over 3.5.
That domestic pattern has been mirrored by some eye‑catching Champions League results. PSV have already beaten Liverpool 4-1 at Anfield as 10‑1 outsiders and thrashed Napoli 6-2 in the league phase, alongside solid away draws at Bayer Leverkusen and Olympiakos.
Ultimately, though, Newcastle's form at St James' Park, where they've lost only one of their last 14 in all competitions, should be enough to see them over the line in a game that should be an entertaining affair.
Newcastle 2-1 PSV
