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Germany vs Italy Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips

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Germany

3
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Italy

3

Main Tip

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Tim Kleindienst to Score Anytime @ 2/1
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Correct Score Tip

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Germany 3-1 Italy @ 12/1
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Germany vs Italy Prediction

Germany versus Italy promises to be a fascinating contest in the quarter-finals of the Nations League, as the visitors trail 2-1 entering the second leg, meaning that they must attack, but, with an element of caution due to the quality of Die Mannschaft.

Entering this game, Julian Nagelsmann’s side are in formidable form, as they are unbeaten in their last seven matches, with five wins and two draws since being beaten 2-1 by Spain in the quarter-finals of the European Championship.

Italy have now suffered back-to-back defeats to Germany and France, perhaps showing that they are not quite ready to go head-to-head with Europe’s elite at this stage,

Prediction: Germany 3-1 Italy

Germany vs Italy Prediction & Preview

On Sunday 23rd March, Germany hosts Italy in the second-leg of their Nations League quarter-final, with the victor facing off against one of Denmark or Portugal in the semi-finals.

Date: 23/03/2025

Location: Signal Iduna Park

Time: 7:45pm

The first leg resulted in a 2-1 win for Germany at the San Siro, thanks to second half goals from Tim Kleindienst and Leon Goretzka, after Newcastle United midfielder Sandro Tonali had given the Azzurri a ninth-minute lead.

Germany have been impressive since their Euro 2024 quarter-final exit to Spain, as they are unbeaten in their last seven matches, which saw them top League A Group A, ahead of the likes of the Netherlands, Hungary and Bosnia & Herzegovina with 14 points from six matches, while scoring 18 and conceding just four times.

Die Mannschaft’s biggest challenge in that group was overcoming the Netherlands, of which they took four points from Ronaldo Koeman’s men, having drawn 2-2 in Amsterdam, while winning 1-0 on home soil back in mid-October thanks to a goal from Stuttgart’s Jamie Leweling.

Arguably their most impressive victory in the Group Stage, was their 7-0 thrashing of Bosnia & Herzegovina when Jamal Musiala, Kleindienst (2), Kai Havertz, Florian Wirtz (2) and Leroy Sané all got on the scoresheet.

In recent years, it has been said that Germany have lacked an out-and-out goalscorer, however, Kleindienst looks like he could be the man to fill that void, as he has fired in three goals in five international caps.

The 29-year-old has had a quick rise to success, as he played an instrumental role in Heidenheim’s 2. Bundesliga promotion campaign in 2022/23, scoring 25 times in 32 matches, before finding the back of the net 12 times in 33 Bundesliga appearances last campaign, prompting Borussia Mönchengladbach to make a move. Since moving to Borussia Park, Kliendeinst has fired in 15 goals in 25 league games.

On the other hand, Italy blew their chances of winning League A Group 2, as they suffered a 3-1 home loss to France on matchday six, seeing them lose out on top spot via goal difference. Luciano Spaletti’s men were unbeaten in their last five matches prior to that loss, now, they could be staring down the barrel of three defeats in a row.

Group A2 actually started off well for Italy, as they earned a memorable 3-1 away win in France thanks to goals by Federico Dimarco, Davide Frattesi and Giacomo Raspadori. Perhaps a game that Italy will regret in the group stage is their 2-2 home draw with Belgium, a game that saw France gain some vital ground on them, having race into a 2-0 lead via goals from Andrea Cambiaso and Mateo Retegui, before Lorenzo Pellegrini was sent off in the 40th-minute. The Azzurri ended up surrendering their lead as Belgium struck twice through goals by Maxim de Cuyper and Leandro Trossard.

Where to Watch

Germany versus Italy will be available to subscribers of Amazon Prime Video.

Team News

Germany

Predicted line-up: Baumann; Kimmich, Rüdiger, Tah, Schlotterbeck; Goretzka, Gross; Leweling, Musiala, Amiri; Kleindienst

Italy

Predicted line-up: Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno, Bastoni; Politano, Barella, Rovella, Tonali, Udogie; Kean, Raspadori

Form Guide

Germany

Germany have won four and drawn one of their last five matches in the Nations League.

Julian Nagelsmann’s side record a 2-1 win over Italy in the first leg of this quarter-final after drawing 1-1 with Hungary and a 7-0 win over Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Prior to those matches, Die Mannschaft had earned vital wins over the Netherlands (1-0) and Bosnia & Herzegovina (2-1) with Deniz Undav scoring a brace against the latter mentioned opponents.

Italy

Italy suffered defeats to the likes of Germany (2-1) and France (3-1) in their last two matches, meaning that there is a significant possibility that they might lose three games on the bounce.

Prior to those matches, the Azzurri earned victories over Belgium (1-0) and Israel (4-1) after a 2-2 home draw with Belgium.

Header logoNations League - League A - Group 1

PosClubPWDLGDPTS
1
Team logoPortugal
6420+814
2
Team logoCroatia
622208
3
Team logoScotland
6213-17
4
Team logoPoland
6114-74
Last updated 24/03/2025

Header logoNations League - League B - Group 2

PosClubPWDLGDPTS
1
Team logoEngland
6501+1315
2
Team logoGreece
6501+715
3
Team logoRep. Ireland
6204-96
4
Team logoFinland
6006-110
Last updated 24/03/2025

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