Brentford’s home meeting with Bournemouth this weekend looks much more consequential than it would have done several weeks back, with both sides now looking over their shoulder having slid down the Premier League table in recent weeks.
- Date: 27/12/2025
- Kick-off: 3:00pm
- Location: Brentford Community Stadium, West London
Brentford are currently 12th on 23 points (7 wins, 2 draws, 8 defeats) and Bournemouth 14th on 22 points (5 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses). Both clubs sit in the congested middle third of the table, where a single win can significantly shift position, adding quiet importance to this post‑Christmas fixture.
Brentford’s last six league matches show a mixed picture: wins over Wolves (2-0) and Burnley (3-1), defeats away to Man City (0-2), Arsenal (0-2), and Tottenham (0–2) and a draw with Leeds United (1-1). Over those six, Brentford have scored 6 and conceded 8, averaging 1 goals for and 1.33 against per game, with one of the six going over 2.5 goals and BTTS landing in two.
Bournemouth’s last six league outings underline a more difficult run: defeats to Sunderland (2–3) and Everton (0–1), plus draws to West Ham (2–2) and Chelsea (0–0), Man United (4-4) and Burnley (1-1). In those six they have scored 9 and conceded 11, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.83 against per match; three of the six matches have gone over 2.5 goals and BTTS has landed in four. That points to a side capable of contributing to higher‑scoring games but also conceding frequently, especially against teams who sustain pressure.
Brentford’s broader home trends suggest a strong likelihood of goals and BTTS. Recent data show that in their last 10 home matches, over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of games and both teams have scored in 80%. Brentford have scored in 90% of those home fixtures and managed over 1.5 team goals in 60%, illustrating a consistent ability to create and convert chances on their own pitch. Defensively, that high BTTS rate reflects regular concessions even when Brentford are on top territorially.
Bournemouth’s away profile is even more tilted towards high‑scoring contests. In their last 10 away games, 90% have seen over 2.5 goals and 100% have had at least two total goals, with 70% finishing with both teams scoring. They have scored in 90% of those away matches and reached over 1.5 team goals in 60%, but have also conceded heavily enough that over 3.5 goals hits in 80% of their away fixtures. This combination of regular away goals and defensive vulnerability makes them a frequent contributor to open, end‑to‑end games.
With both sides looking good to score, the fact that Bournemouth have drawn four of their last six games points towards yet another stalemate.
Brentford 2-2 Bournemouth
