Brighton’s take on Bournemouth in the Premier League for this week's round of Monday night football in a game that should be easy on the eye.
- Date: 19/01/2026
- Kick-off: 8:00pm
- Location: Falmer Stadium, Brighton
Brighton are looking to consolidate a push towards the European spots, while Bournemouth are looking to pull clear of the lower reaches and stabilise after a difficult run either side of the winter period.Brighton arrive in good spirits after a sequence that has seen them respond well to earlier inconsistency. After a poor run, Fabian Hurtzeler’s side regained confidence with a solid win over Burnley at the Amex, followed it with a composed draw away at Manchester City and then eliminated Manchester United from the FA Cup.
Statistically, Brighton remain one of the Premier League’s more reliable teams for high‑event matches, especially in terms of BTTS. Last season’s full‑campaign numbers showed both teams scoring in 71% of their league games and over 2.5 goals landing in 71% as well, both significantly above the division averages of around 57%. The 2025-26 figures are tracking in a similar direction: Brighton’s xG for stands at 1.52 per match (1.68 at home), with xG against at 1.45 (1.32 at the Amex).
Bournemouth, for their part, travel along the south coast with a mixed recent record and a clear need for points. Andoni Iraola’s side endured a poor display in a heavy defeat at Brentford, improved to take a deserved point against Chelsea and then pushed Arsenal hard in an entertaining loss at the Vitality before finally snapping an 11‑game winless run with a dramatic stoppage‑time victory over Tottenham, courtesy of Antoine Semenyo’s late winner in what was his final outing before departure. Their most recent outing saw them knocked out of the FA Cup by Newcastle after a high-scoring tie that again showcased their ability to create - and concede - chances, leaving the league as the clear priority.
Over the season, Bournemouth’s numbers point to a side whose matches can fluctuate in rhythm but which increasingly trend towards goals, particularly away from home where they struggle to keep clean sheets. No team has conceded more expected goals on their travels this season, and Bournemouth have kept only one clean sheet away from home, allowing multiple goals in seven consecutive road fixtures heading into this round. Their own attacking output remains respectable - averaging around 1.4-1.6 goals per match in some recent runs and rarely going long spells without scoring - so BTTS and over‑2.5 have both had a strong presence in their away profile in the current campaign.
While we're confident this game should produce goals, the fact Bournemouth haven't won away from home in any of their last nine outings remains a concern. With Brighton picking up some good results in recent weeks, the stage is primed for them to take a big three points.
Brighton 3-2 Bournemouth
