Burnley’s take on Manchester United in the Premier League this week as a relegation‑threatened side clashes with a team currently in flux following the sacking of manager Ruben Amorim.
- Date: 07/01/2025
- Kick-off: 8:15pm
- Location: Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley cirrently sit 19th on 12 points (3 wins, 3 draws, 14 defeats) and Man United 6th on 31 points (8 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses) after 20 games. Burnley have scored 20 and conceded 39 (goal difference -19), while United’s record stands at 34 scored and 30 conceded (goal difference +4), underlining the contrast between one of the division’s leakiest back lines and a volatile but far more productive attack.
Across the season, Burnley average 1.00 goal scored and 1.95 conceded per league match, for a match‑goals figure of 2.95. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of their fixtures, and BTTS in 55%. United average 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded per match, giving a match‑goals average of 3.20. They have seen over 2.5 goals in 60% of league games and BTTS in 75%, with 15 of 20 fixtures featuring both teams scoring.
Burnley’s home form is very poor: 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats at Turf Moor in the league. At home they score 0.80 and concede 1.30 goals per game, for a relatively modest match‑goals average of 2.10, with over 2.5 goals in just 20% of home fixtures and BTTS in 30%. They have failed to score in half of their home league matches (5 of 10) but kept three clean sheets, with games tending to be lower‑scoring affairs at Turf Moor compared with their away fixtures.
United’s away form has seen them clock 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats on the road. Away from Old Trafford they score 1.60 and concede 1.70 goals per match (3.30 total) and have failed to score in only 10% of away league fixtures.
Based on that, then, we think a Man United side - possible rejuvinated by the exit of Ruben Amorim - will take home the three points, with a struggling Burnley side once again firing blank in front of goal. Matheus Cunha has shouldered much of the attacking burden for the Red Devils in recent weeks, as he enters this game with four goal contributions in his last six appearances for the club.
Burnley 0-2 Man United
