Southampton vs Newcastle: Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips

Despite showing some resiliency in their defeats against Manchester United (3-1) and Nottingham Forest (3-2), Southampton are likely to face an uphill struggle in this game against Newcastle United, who will be desperate to bounce back from their defeat to AFC Bournemouth.

Southampton have only won once on home soil this season in the Premier League. However, the Saints are on course to record the lowest points tally in Premier League history, with only six points from a possible 66 on offer this season.

Since the win against Everton, Southampton have lost their previous five home league games, and that shows no signs of stopping when they face Newcastle United. The Magpies have won the last six meetings between the two teams and their previous three away Premier League matches coming into this game.

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in six of the last eight meetings between the two teams, so we predict a 3-0 win for the visitors.

Southampton 0-3 Newcastle United

Southampton are likely to face an uphill battle in this game against Newcastle United, who are chasing a potential UEFA Champions League place this season.

Date: 25/01/2025
Location: St.Mary’s, Southampton.
Kick-Off: 3pm

Southampton’s woes this season don't look like they are going to improve any time soon, with the Saints on course to potentially record the lowest points tally in Premier League history. However, they would only require five points until the end of the season to mark level with Derby County’s record of 2007/08 campaign. Southampton saw fit to appoint Ivan Juric during the season to replace Russell Martin and since his appointment, the Croatian manager is yet to record a league win as Saints boss. However, they did record a 3-0 win against Swansea City in the FA Cup.

Newcastle United have been excellent this season, as the Magpies have become challengers for the UEFA Champions League places, taking advantage of teams such as Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United. Eddie Howe’s side have had a tremendous Christmas/New Year period which has seen them propel into fifth, which will see the club qualify to the marquee European competition based on coefficient ranking. Newcastle United also have one foot in the Carabao Cup final, following their 2-0 away leg win against Arsenal.

The reverse fixture between these two teams ended in a 1-0 win for Newcastle United, in which the Magpies were reduced to ten men.

The game will not be available to watch in the UK.

Young starlet Tyler Dibling is expected to be ruled out with an ankle injury, joining an injury list containing Gavin Bazunu and Jack Stephens.

Nick Pope continues to be unavailable for Eddie Howe, so expect Martin Dubravka to start. Jamal Lascelles will be unavailable, as will Callum Wilson.

The recent history between the two teams, would heavily suggest that Newcastle are well within their right to be the overwhelming favourites for this game. The Magpies have won the last six meetings in all competitions against the Saints and are unbeaten in the last eight matches between the two teams. The last time Southampton beat Newcastle United in this fixture was back in 2020, and since then, the Magpies have recorded 4-1 and 3-1 victories against Southampton away from home. Goals are usually a certainty in this fixture, with over 2.5 goals occurring in six of the last eight meetings between the two teams and both teams scoring in six of the previous eight encounters.

Southampton are slowly approaching unwanted records in the Premier League, with the South Coast side destined to break the record of the lowest Premier League points tallies set by Derby County. Despite recent improvements in performances, the Saints are still chasing their first win in the Premier League since their 1-0 win against Everton. Since that result, Southampton have only gained two points since November and have lost their previous five league games heading into this game against a much favoured Newcastle United side.

Since the Everton game, Southampton have lost their previous five consecutive league matches on home soil, conceding embarrassing scorelines against the likes of Chelsea (1-5), Brentford (0-5) and Tottenham (0-5). The Saints are coming into this game, having just lost to Nottingham Forest at the City Ground (3-2) and were ten minutes away from securing a 1-0 win against an underperforming Manchester United side.

Newcastle United are in excellent form coming into this game, with the defeat against Bournemouth (1-4) their only blip on what has been a successful few weeks for the Magpies. Following the defeat to Bournemouth, Newcastle United have won six of their last seven Premier League matches, picking up impressive results against Aston Villa (3-0), Leicester City (4-0) and Wolves (3-0).

Away from home, Newcastle United have a rather respectable record on their travels with three losses from 11 games, including five wins and three draws. The Magpies have won their last three away Premier League matches coming into this game against Manchester United (0-2), Tottenham Hotspur (1-2) and Ipswich Town (0-4). Newcastle United have also shown great potency in the first half of fixtures, having won the first half in eight of their previous ten matches in all competitions.

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