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Arsenal vs. Porto Prediction & Betting Tips

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            Arsenal vs. Porto Prediction & Betting Tips

            As this season's edition of the UEFA Champions League progresses into its critical stages, the clash between Arsenal and Porto this Tuesday stands out as a fixture of paramount importance for both clubs. With Arsenal looking to overturn a first-leg deficit and Porto aiming to secure a coveted spot in the quarter-finals, the stage is set for a compelling encounter at the Emirates Stadium.

            Date: 12/03/2024

            Kick-off time: 20:00

            Location: Emirates Stadium

            Arsenal, under the astute guidance of Mikel Arteta, have positioned themselves as genuine title contenders in the Premier League, currently sitting 2nd with 64 points. Their campaign has been marked by resilience and tactical acumen, attributes they will need in abundance as they seek to navigate past Porto and into the latter stages of the Champions League—a feat they haven't achieved since the 2009-10 season. The Gunners' European journey this season has been a mixed bag, with their resolve particularly tested following a 1-0 defeat in the first leg against Porto, courtesy of an injury-time strike from Galeno. This setback highlighted Arsenal's away game vulnerabilities in the competition, reminiscent of their 2-1 loss at Lens in the group stages, which they emphatically rectified with a 6-0 thrashing in the return fixture at the Emirates.

            Following a poor period of form over Christmas, Arsenal have been resurgent in recent weeks and much of that stems from the exceptional form of several players. Declan Rice has been a revelation, contributing three goals and three assists in his last six games, in addition to his invaluable defensive work. Kai Havertz, following a high-profile move from Chelsea, has finally found his stride, amassing four goals and two assists in his last five outings. Ben White, too, has been instrumental, excelling in both defensive duties and contributing to the attack.

            Despite their recent European struggles, Arsenal's record at home against Porto offers plenty of hope. The Gunners have won their last three encounters with the Portuguese side at the Emirates by an aggregate score of 11-0, an encouraging statistic as they aim to overturn the first-leg deficit.

            Porto, guided by Sérgio Conceição, find themselves in a solid if somewhat inconsistent campaign in the Primeira Liga, currently holding the 3rd position. The first leg against Arsenal showcased Porto's tactical discipline and ability to execute a game plan to perfection, stifling Arsenal's creative forces and securing a narrow victory. This performance underscored Porto's European pedigree and their ambition to progress further in the competition.

            Evanilson, Porto's leading scorer this season with 10 goals, along with standout performances from defender Wendell and winger Francisco Conceição, have been central to Porto's success. However, their record on English soil—without a win in their last 22 visits—poses a significant challenge as they prepare to face Arsenal away from home.

            Despite winning the first leg, history offers a mixed outlook for Porto, with the team progressing from half of their last six Champions League knockout games in which they've secured a first-leg victory. This statistic, coupled with their daunting record in England, adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming match.

            Bukayo Saka To Score First

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            Kai Havertz 2+ Shots On Target

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            Kai Havertz 2+ Shots On Target @ 10/11
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            Kai Havertz To Score A Header

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            Team News

            Arsenal Team News:

            Arsenal are coming into this game with Gabriel Martinelli standing as a major doubt as he looks to recover from a severe cut to his foot.

            Jurriën Timber is nearing a return from an ACL injury but is still quite a few weeks away yet, while Takehiro Tomiyasu looks set to miss out once again.

            Mikel Arteta's big game lineup has seen him prefer a Jorginho and Rice midfielder pairing with Kai Havertz playing as a striker, and that should continue here with Gabriel Jesus potentially joining the front three in Martinelli's absence.

            Porto Team News:

            Zaidu Sanusi and Ivan Marcano both remain out injured for the Portuguese side but defender Wendell should be passed fit.

            Gabriel Veron is not expected to be fit enough to play here but Mehdi Taremi should be available after missing the game in Porto.

            Form Guide (Last Five Games)

            Arsenal suffered a brief dip in form over the Christmas period that gave the impression their season was about to implode. However not only have they recovered from that dip but they've emerged from it even stronger than before; Mikel Arteta's side are coming into this game having won eight of their last nine matches, with their sole defeat coming at the hands of this week's opponents.

            The Gunners' most recent outing saw them claim a hard-fought 2-1 win over Brentford at the Emirates, where after going ahead through a header from Declan Rice, Aaron Ramsdale—who was playing what many believe will be his final appearance for Arsenal with David Raya ineligible—made a sorry blunder as Yoane Wissa blocked the goalkeeper's clearance which rebounding into the back of the Arsenal net on the stroke of half time. Arsenal huffed and puffed in the second half and finally, in the 86th minute, Kai Havertz met Ben White's cross with his head to seal the three points.

            The game was the first time Arsenal had to really stretch to get the win in the league in a number of weeks having brushed a number of teams aside with ease in recent outings, but it showed Arteta's men have it in them to overcome adversity at a crucial point in the season.

            Out of eighteen games at the Emirates this season, Arsenal have won fourteen, drawn two and lost two so they're not at all easy to topple on their own turf.

            Porto are coming into this game in equally good form to their opponents having won four and drawn one of their last five games. Most recently, Porto ran out 3-0 winners away at Portimonense with goals from Nico González, Galeno and Pepê getting the job done. The win was a comfortable one for Porto and means they've now won their last three games on the bounce.

            Prior to that win, Porto hammered rivals Benfica by a comprehensive 5-0 scoreline thanks to goals from Galeno (X2), Wendell, Pepê and Danny Namaso. That win, coupled with the win over Arsenal, gives the impression Porto are peaking at this point in the campaign.

            Porto have lost two of their last four Champions League games away from home but they'll take a lot of comfort in knowing that a draw here will see them in the quarter-finals.

            Footy Accumulators Prediction

            The Emirates will be right behind Arsenal for this one and they've fared very well on home soil in Europe this season. It could take them a while to break down a Porto side that are very well organised but ultimately we expect them to get the job done here. We predict: Arsenal 2-0 Porto.

            Don’t forget to check out the rest of our previews, tips and offers for this weekend’s action. Footy Accumulators is the #1 football betting site for the latest on betting in the UK - download the Betting Hub app for more!

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            Where To Watch

            Subscribed U.K. viewers can watch this game on TNT Sports 1 while full radio coverage will be provided by BBC Radio 5 Live.