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AC Milan vs. Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips

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      • (6') C. Pulišić
      • (20') O. Giroud
      • (57') Rafael Leão
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        • (34') A. Blin
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          • (45') N. Krstović

          AC Milan vs. Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips

          As we approach another weekend of Serie A action, the fixture list has thrown up an intriguing encounter between AC Milan and Lecce. This match, set to unfold this Saturday, carries with it not just the usual fervour associated with Italy's top-flight football but also a narrative of ambition, improvement, and survival.

          Date: 06/04/2024

          Kick-off time: 14:00

          Location: San Siro

          AC Milan, a name synonymous with Italian football royalty, find themselves in a peculiar position this season. Currently seated comfortably at 2nd in the Serie A standings, they've amassed a total of 65 points from 30 games. This marks a significant turnaround from a somewhat disappointing title defence last season. The team's resurgence is a testament to both the strategic acumen of their management and the resilience of their playing squad. However, despite this marked improvement, the Rossoneri remain a considerable 14 points adrift of their city rivals, Inter Milan. This gap underscores the high standards Milan set for themselves and highlights the relentless nature of competition at the pinnacle of football.

          Milan's ascent this season can be attributed to a combination of factors, not least of which is their activity in the summer transfer market. The club made some shrewd acquisitions, but two names, in particular, stand out: Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Christian Pulisic. Both players have not only adapted swiftly to the rigours of Serie A but have also delivered career-best performances. Loftus-Cheek, with 10 goals and 2 assists, and Pulisic, with 12 goals and 8 assists, have been revelations, injecting dynamism, creativity, and a goal threat into Milan's midfield and forward line.

          Another key figure in Milan's arsenal is Rafael Leão. The Portuguese winger, hailed as one of the finest in his position globally, brings a blend of pace, skill, and power that few can match. Under the guidance of Stefano Pioli, these players have found a system that maximises their strengths, making Milan a formidable outfit capable of challenging the very best.

          Lecce's situation stands in stark contrast to that of their upcoming opponents. Positioned 13th in the league, the team from the south of Italy have gathered 28 points from 29 games. This season has been one of unease for Lecce, as they find themselves embroiled in a battle to avoid relegation. Hovering just three points above the drop zone, every match, point, and moment takes on added significance in their quest for Serie A survival.

          The managerial change, with Luca Gotti taking over the reins from Roberto D'Aversa in early March, reflects the club's desperate search for a catalyst to spark a turnaround. This change at the top is an attempt to inject new ideas and momentum into a side that have struggled to find consistency. The spectre of relegation looms large, a fate Lecce is all too familiar with, having finished merely five points clear of the relegation zone last season.

          Lecce's head-to-head record against Milan further complicates their challenge. Their last victory over the Rossoneri dates back to 2006, a reminder of the historical hurdles they face. The recent encounters between the two sides have not been kind to Lecce either, with the last five meetings yielding two wins for Milan and three draws, including a 2-2 draw back in November.

          As we delve into the specifics of the match, it's clear that both teams come into this encounter with distinct objectives and pressures. Milan, with an eye on solidifying their 2nd place and possibly reducing the gap with Inter, will look to assert their dominance early on. The contributions of Loftus-Cheek and Pulisic will be crucial, as their ability to break down defences could prove decisive. Leão's flair and penetrating runs down the left wing could also pose significant problems for Lecce's defence.

          On the other hand, Lecce's primary aim will be to disrupt Milan's rhythm and look for opportunities to exploit any gaps that might emerge. The focus for Luca Gotti's men will be on maintaining defensive solidity while trying to catch Milan on the break. Every point is precious for Lecce in their fight for survival, and a positive result against Milan would provide a significant morale boost.

          Both Teams To Score

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          Yes @ 10/11
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          Milan To Score 3+ Goals

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          Milan To Score 3+ Goals @ 7/4
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          Milan / Milan @ 11/10
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          Team News

          Milan Team News:

          Théo Hernandez is once again expected to miss out for Milan so Alessandro Florenzi should continue at left-back. Pierre Kalulu and Simon Kjaer both remain on the treatment table.

          Milan have a big Europa League quarterfinal tie with Serie A rivals Roma on Thursday so we could see one or two faces rested here, as the likes of Yunus Musah and Matteo Gabbia look for a place in the starting lineup.

          Lecce Team News:

          Lameck Banda is available for selection once again after serving a one-match suspension, but Mohamed Kaba and Kastriot Dermaku are both likely to miss out injured here.

          The likes of Iron Gomis and Simeon Nwankwo will be hoping to see some game time here.

          Form Guide (Last Five Games)

          Form-wise, Milan are at their season peak at present; Stefano Pioli's men are coming into this game in good shape having won all of their last five games. Milan's latest outing was a tricky trip to Florence to take on Fiorentina, and the Rossoneri passed that test impressively as they claimed a 2-1 win thanks to goals from Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Rafael Leão.

          Prior to that, Milan registered consecutive 3-1 wins against Verona and Slavia Prague–with Loftus-Cheek, Leão and Pulisic all getting on the scoresheet in those games–which followed a 1-0 win over Empoli and a 4-2 win over Slavia Prague.

          Milan have been stronger on home soil than they have been away from home, as they come into this one having won four and drawn one of their last five games at home.

          Lecce's form stands in complete contrast to that of their opponents. Lecce are entering this game having won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five games. Their latest outing, though, was where that win arrived, as Lecce ran out 1-0 winners away at Salernitana.

          The win over Salernitana, currently bottom of the league table, was both a huge and essential three points for Lecce. The win also came in Luca Gotti's first game in charge, so there will be hope he can now build on that win over the course of the next few weeks.

          Footy Accumulators Prediction

          Milan are peaking in the final quarter of the season and should register a seventh straight win in all competitions here. There simply isn't a quality argument to make in favour of any other result here, with the only real question regarding by how many goals the win will come. We predict: AC Milan 3-1 Lecce.

          Don’t forget to check out the rest of our previews, tips and offers for this weekend’s action. Footy Accumulators is the #1 football betting site for the latest on betting in the UK - download the Betting Hub app for more!

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