RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

The biggest game in the Bundesliga this weekend undoubtedly takes place at the Red Bull Arena as the race for UEFA Champions League Qualification enters its final stages. RB Leipzig host Borussia Dortmund with three important points is on offer at this late stage of the season.

Location: Red Bull Arena

Date: 27/04/2024

Kick-Off 14:30 PM

The hosts RB Leipzig are closing in on another UEFA Champions League campaign, but they face a Borussia Dortmund side who could overtake them with a win in this game. RB Leipzig are currently in fourth place; two points clear of Borussia Dortmund with both sides also having external routes away from the league for qualification.

Both sides and the league phase for qualification could be awarded an extra spot based on the UEFA coefficient. Interestingly, Borussia Dortmund is still in the elite European Competition having reached the semi-finals. Borussia Dortmund will face Paris Saint Germain in the next round of the competition.

The away side ideally needs the win more to avoid any complications because of their inferior points tally and goal difference. Dortmund have scored 12 less than RB Leipzig this season.

RB Leipzig was the winners in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Five goals were scored between the two teams as RB Leipzig edged out Borussia Dortmund 3-2.

RB Leipzig Team News

Yussuf Poulsen is likely to miss out through injury. Lois Openda is at risk of suspension for this game.

Borussia Dortmund Team News

Borussia Dortmund have four injury concerns. Ramy Bensebaini, Abdoulaye Kamara, Donyell Malen and Sebastian Haller could all miss out through injury. Mats Hummels is a suspension risk for this game.

RB Leipzig has the advantage when it comes to the recent form between the two sides. The home side have won four out of their last league games against Borussia Dortmund, with Borussia Dortmund gaining a win last season.

RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund have only faced each other 17 times because of the newly founded Red Bull outfit within this league that caused controversy.

RB Leipzig has won seven of those 17 games, with Borussia Dortmund winning eight of those so the away side has the historical edge. This fixture has produced some high-scoring games, with the fixture averaging 3.41 goals per game.

The visitors will be heading to Leipzig in the hope of ending a three-year spell where they haven’t won away at their hosts. The last time Borussia Dortmund won away at RB Leipzig was in 2021 when some notable players were on the score sheet for Dortmund that day. The away side ran out 4-1 winners thanks to both Jadon Sancho and Erling Haaland scoring two goals in each.

The two sides faced each other three times last season, with both sides gaining a win over each other in the league, although RB Leipzig also beat Borussia Dortmund 2-0 in the DFB Pokal. In this fixture last season, RB Leipzig were comfortable 3-0 winners. The home side were the dominant team in the game, having 15 shots to Borussia Dortmund’s five. Willie Orban, Dominick Szoboszlai and Amadou Haidara were on hand to secure RB Leipzig all three points.

RB Leipzig has tremendous home form heading into this important game for European qualification. The hosts have played 15 games at home this season, having won ten games, drawn three and losing twice.

RB Leipzig has won four out of their last five league games at home, averaging 2.20 points per game. In their previous home game, they were 3-0 winners over VFL Wolfsburg. The statistics were even across the board but goals from Dani Olmo, Benjamin Sesko and Lois Openda sealed the win.

At home, RB Leipzig are prolific scorers having scored an average of 2.33 goals per game and have only conceded an average of 0.67 per game. RB Leipzig has kept clean sheets in 53% of their home games this season, having also won 67% of their home games in front of their home crowd.

In their last game, RB Leipzig secured a late win over Heidenheim. Benjamin Sesko gave Leipzig the league before Heidenheim equalised on the hour mark. Lois Openda secured all three points with a strike in the 85th minute ahead of this all-important game against Borussia Dortmund.

Lois Openda has been in sensational form for the hosts this season. The Belgian International, who arrived last summer from RC Lens, has scored 23 goals and provided six assists for Leipzig this season in the Bundesliga. Openda has scored six goals in his last five games.

The positive for Borussia Dortmund is that their away form, suggests they could win all three points in this battle for Europe. Borussia Dortmund have won four out of their last five away from in the league, drawing only once.

Borussia Dortmund have played 15 games away from the Signal Iduna Park this season and have won eight encounters on the road, drawing six and only losing once. Dortmund have averaged two points exactly away from home and technically have a better average in points gained per game than they do at home.

One of their more recent away victories was the historic win over Bayern Munich, which all but ended Bayern Munich’s title hopes at the time. Borussia Dortmund’s win over their biggest rivals was the first time since 2014 that the club had beaten Bayern Munich in their home ground.

Karim Adeyemi and Julian Ryerson provided the goals needed for victory and to strengthen their Champions League qualification hopes. Niclas Fullkrug currently leads the scoring charts for Borussia Dortmund this season.

Niclas Fullkrug currently has 12 goals for the Champions League semi-finalists and has contributed eight assists in total. Julian Brandt will be relied on for his creativity in this game. The German international has 11 assists in the Bundesliga this season.

RB Leipzig's home form is just too strong for Borussia Dortmund so that's why we're going with a 3-1 Leipzig home win.

RB Leipzig 3-1 Borussia Dortmund

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The game will not be broadcast on TV in the UK

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