Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna: Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

Atletico Madrid host Osasuna next weekend with the home side potentially having secured safe passage into next season’s UEFA Champions League.

Date: 19/05/2024

Location: Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Kick-Off: 6:00 PM

Atletico Madrid have enjoyed a rather successful season in the league and are on course to secure qualification into next season’s Champions League. Atletico could potentially be mathematically secured by the time they play Osasuna next week if they beat Getafe in midweek.

Atletico Madrid have 70 points from 35 games played and have averaged two points per game. Atletico Madrid can still finish inside the top two places in the league, although it is considered highly unlikely.

Osasuna realistically have nothing to play for this season, but they will be assured of their league position for next season. The away side is currently mid-table after 35 games played and are mathematically safe with three games to go.

The most recent league meeting between the two sides resulted in a 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid this season, thanks to goals from Rodrigo Riquelme and Antoine Griezmann.

Atletico Madrid Team News

Thomas Lemar, Memphis Depay, Nahuel Molina and Vitolo are all unavailable for Atletico Madrid. Gabriel Paulista, Stefan Savic, Cesar Azpilicueta, Jose Maria Gimenez and Koke are all suspension risks.

Osasuna Team News

Kike Barja, Ante Budimir, David Garcia, Moi Gomez and Unai Garcia are all ruled out with injury problems. Jon Moncayola is currently serving a one – match suspension, although he should be available for selection for the game against Atletico Madrid.

The recent history between the two sides suggests that Atletico Madrid will be overwhelming favourites for this game against Osasuna. The home side have won their last five meetings against their visitors.

This fixture provides an average of 2.38 goals scored between the two teams. In the last 20 competitive meetings between the two teams, Osasuna has only won once, drawn once and lost the remaining 18 games played against Atletico Madrid.

Osasuna’s only league win over Atletico Madrid came in 2014 where three first-half goals from Alvaro Cejudo, Emiliano Armenteros and Roberto Torres gave Osasuna their only victory. Since that single victory, Osasuna has lost every single game against Atletico Madrid.

The last league meeting at the Civitas Metropolitano was a comfortable outing for Atletico Madrid. The hosts recorded a 3-0 win over Osasuna thanks to goals from Saul Niguez, Yannick Carrasco, and Angel Correa. The home side has recorded a league double over their opponents every year since 2014.

In the last ten meetings between the two sides, there have only been two dismissals. Those two dismissals took place in the league game earlier this season with both teams receiving a dismissal in the same incident as Alvaro Morata and Chimy Avila were both sent off.

From the last five league meetings between the two sides, Atletico Madrid has kept five clean sheets and scored ten goals in that period. The last time Osasuna scored past their opponents was in 2021, however, that resulted in a 2-1 loss for the away side that day.

Atletico Madrid’s home form is unsurprisingly superior to their away form in the league this season. Diego Simeone’s side has played 17 games his season at home, winning 15, drawing once and losing only a single game. This is subject to change as Atletico host Celta Vigo before their game against Osasuna next weekend.

Atletico Madrid head into this game with some great league form behind them. Diego Simeone’s side has won four out of their last five league games, only losing a single game to Deportivo Alaves.

The home side have averaged 2.71 points per game at home this season and have won 88% of their respective home fixtures. Atletico Madrid’s only home defeat this season was in a 3-0 loss to FC Barcelona in March which ended their unbeaten run on home soil.

The most important statistic for Atletico Madrid this season has been their consistency in scoring at home this season. Atletico Madrid have scored 2.35 goals per game at home this season and have only failed to score in 6% of their home games this season.

An issue that does present itself for the home side is that they’ve only kept a clean sheet in 24% of their games at home this season, whilst conceding 1.06 goals per game. In their most recent league game, Atletico were winners by a single goal from former Bournemouth loanee Rodrigo Riquelme.

Spain captain Alvaro Morata will be key for Atletico Madrid this weekend. The former Chelsea striker has 23 goal contributions in 48 games this season. Morata has a goal involvement every 132 minutes for club and country this season.

Osasuna’s away form will be difficult to overturn as they face one of the best home records in the country in Atletico Madrid. The away side has played 18 league games this season, having won five, drawn nine and losing the remaining four games.

Osasuna have recorded a 1.06 point per game average on their travels this season and have only won 28% of their away fixtures. The away side only has a 22% clean sheet record, this is despite scoring 1.22 goals per game on their travels.

Los Rojillos have won only once in their last five away games and are on a run of five games without a win in all competitions. The away side have only picked up one point from their last points on offer which was an away draw at Athletic Bilbao. Their overall form could be subject to change since they host Mallorca before their game against Atletico Madrid.

Ante Budimir has been in terrific form this season for his club. The Croatian striker has 16 goals in 31 league appearances this season. Budimir has three goals in his last five league appearances.

Atletico's home form is far too strong and it's highly unlikely that Osasuna end their losing streak against Atletico Madrid this weekend.

Atletico 3-0 Osasuna

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