Atalanta vs Roma: Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

European qualification is on the agenda in Serie A in the remaining games of the season. Atalanta hosts Roma with both sides still playing for the opportunity to be in next season’s UEFA Champions League.

Location: Gewiss Stadium

Date: 12/05/2024

Kick-Off: 7:45 pm

Three points separate the two sides as it currently stands, although the advantage is firmly in the home side’s favour heading into this game. Both sides still compete in this season’s UEFA Europa League as a second avenue to qualify for Europe’s elite competition.

Atalanta is all level with Marseille after the first leg, whereas Roma has to overcome a two-goal deficit away at Bayer Leverkusen who are chasing an unprecedented unbeaten treble.

An extra UEFA Champions League place is now available for teams in Italy upon UEFA’s ruling. The performances from Italian sides in Europe this season, saw the league rewarded with an extra place.

The home side enter this game currently sixth and if they win their respective game in hand against bottom-of-the-league Salernitana, they will leapfrog Roma into fifth place, ahead on goal difference. Atalanta also has an extra game in hand to play over Roma with the postponed game against Fiorentina still yet to be rearranged.

If the home side were to beat Salernitana as expected and if they were to beat Roma next weekend, they could find themselves with a three-point advantage and a superior goal difference with three games to play.

This would mean realistically, that two wins from their last three games if that scenario were to take place, would see them oust Roma in the battle for what is now the top-five spot in Italy.

As for the visitors, they would realistically need to win to strengthen their position in the top five. Roma are currently four points behind Bologna and if results fall in their favour at the weekend, they could find themselves one point behind although Atalanta will more than likely still have the game in hand to move above them on goal difference.

The previous meeting between the two sides finished all square in a 1-1 draw. Teun Koopmeiners' early goal was cancelled out by a Paulo Dybala penalty.

Atalanta Team News

Eni Holm, Rafael Toloi and Sead Kolasinac are all ruled out with injury problems for Atalanta. Gianluca Scamacca recently served his suspension and should be in contention to start.

Roma Team News

A.S. Roma should only have Paulo Dybala to worry about on the injury front. The Argentine has muscle problems which is the only disadvantage for Daniele de Rossi.

The recent history between the two sides suggests that this game will be a closely contested contest between the two teams. Atalanta and Roma have each won two games against each other whilst drawing the remaining game from five games played. That draw took place this season at the Stadio Olimpico.

On average this fixture provides a 3.05 goals per game this season. In the last 20 meetings between the two teams, Atalanta have the historical advantage having beaten their opponents A.S. Roma on eight occasions, drawing seven times and losing five. In the last eight meetings between the two sides, there have been four dismissals, two for either side. Interestingly there have only been two games in which the dismissals occurred in which the dismissals are evenly split between the two sides.

Atalanta is unbeaten in their last two games against A.S. Roma, considering in the two games before this Roma were the victors. In this fixture last season, Atalanta were the deserved winners. Goals from Teun Koopmeiners, Rafael Toloi and Mario Pasalic secured a 3-1 win over Roma for the home side.

The home side’s form in front of their home crowd is a huge factor in their UEFA Champions League qualification chances this season. Atalanta has played 16 games at home this season, having won 11 games this season, losing three and drawing twice.

Atalanta has averaged 2.19 points per game at home season, in comparison to their 1.39 points per game obtained away from home this season. The home side has won three out of their last five league games at home this campaign and coincidentally three wins in their last five in all competitions.

In their last home game, Atalanta were 2-0 winners over Empoli thanks to goals from Mario Pasalic and Ademola Lookman. Atalanta have been brilliant in front of goal this season, having scored 2.19 goals per match this season and they’ve only failed to score in only 6% of their home games this season.

Defensively they’ve also been solid, having kept clean sheets in 56% of their games and conceding on average 0.75 goals per game.

Roma’s away record is quite indifferent in comparison to their home form this season. The away side have averaged 1.35 points per season, in comparison to the 2.06 on average they obtain at the Stadio Olimpico.

Roma have played 17 games away from home this season, winning six games, drawing five and losing the remaining six games away from the Stadio Olimpico. Roma have won only 35% of their away games his season and are unbeaten in their last five games away from home.

Roma have won twice and drawn their last three remaining games. Roma’s last away win was a 2-1 win over Udinese. Roberto Pereyra opened the scoring for Udinese in the 23rd minute, however, two late goals from Romelu Lukaku and Byran Cristante rescued the victory for Roma in their race for Champions League qualification.

Roma have scored on average 1.47 goals away from home this season, however, they’ve unfortunately kept only a clean sheet average of 16% this season. Roma have also failed to score in 29% of their away fixtures this season, whilst losing also 35% of their away games.

For this important fixture, we are predicting a 1-1 draw between Atalanta and A.S. Roma.

Atalanta 1-1 Roma

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The game will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1.

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