AFC Bournemouth vs Swansea City Prediction & Betting Tips

Bournemouth host Swansea at the Vitality Stadium this Thursday in the Fourth Round of the FA Cup. Though the Premier League Cherries look like a sure bet to grab a place in the next round, the chance for an upset is always high in the FA Cup.

• Bournemouth to win @ 2/9 on William Hill
• Both teams to score @ 17/20 on Paddy Power
• Over 1.5 goals @ 1/6 on William Hill

These odds are accurate at the time of publication and may be subject to change.

The Fourth Round of the FA Cup kicks off this Thursday on the coast between Bournemouth and Swansea. Both sides have had a rollercoaster season so far in the Premier League and the Championship and will be looking for a long cup run to get their form in check.

In the Premier League, Bournemouth currently sit 12th. In 20 games, The Cherries have seven wins, four draws and nine losses, leaving them on 28 points, just one point from the top half of the table.

Bournemouth don’t have the best record in the FA Cup. The furthest The Cherries have ever gotten in the competition is the Quarter-Finals back in the 2020/21 season, where they suffered a 3 - 0 loss to Southampton. Other than that run, Bournemouth are the victims of a consistent exit at the Third or Fourth Round.

Swansea are also struggling in the Championship, currently sitting 16th after 28 games. The Swans have eight wins, nine draws and 11 losses, leaving them on 33 points. This leaves Swansea nine points above the relegation zone and seven points from the top half of the table.

The furthest Swansea have reached in the FA Cup is the Semi-Finals, but this came all the way back in the 1963/64 season, losing out 2 - 1 to Preston. Since that Semi-Final appearance, the furthest Swansea have gotten is the Fifth Round. Last season The Swans crashed out in the Third Round after a 2 - 1 loss in extra time in the Replay against Bristol City.

Bournemouth and Swansea have a storied history, having met on 64 occasions, the first coming back in 1924. The Cherries have the better record in the fixture, with 27 wins in comparison to Swansea’s 23 wins, with the other 14 games ending in a draw.

This fixture has been a hotbed of goals in recent times. In the last five games between the two, four of them have had over three goals and two of them have had over five goals.

Bournemouth Team News

Andoni Iraola has Tyler Adams, Hamed Traore, Milos Kerkez, Adam Smith, Ryan Fredericks and Darren Randolph out with injuries. Antoine Semenyo and Dango Ouattara are unavailable due to the African Cup of Nations, but Lloyd Kelly and Marcos Senesi may be able to return.

Swansea Team News

Luke Williams also has a couple long-term injuries to consider. Ben Cabango, Harrison Ashby, Josh Key, Sam Parker and Liam Walsh are all on the sidelines for the foreseeable future.

AFC Bournemouth

In their last five games in all competitions, Bournemouth have three wins and two losses.

Despite going down to ten men in the 23rd minute, with Willy Boly sent off for Nottingham Forest, Anthony Elanga put Forest ahead just two minutes into the second half. However, Two quick-fire goals from Dominic Solanke put Bournemouth into a 2 - 1 lead before the 60-minute mark. Chris Wood managed to draw Forest level but in the 94th minute, Solanke completed his hat-trick for a 3 - 2 win for Bournemouth.

Justin Kluivert put Bournemouth ahead at halftime with his goal just before the halftime whistle. A penalty from Solanke and a late goal from Luis Sinisterra gave Bournemouth the 3 - 0 win over a Fulham side that had more of the possession but only three shots on target.

Alex Scott’s goal was far too late for The Cherries as Pape Matar Sarr, Son Heung-min and Richarlison had already scored to give Tottenham the 3 - 1 win. Bournemouth were wasteful against Spurs, registering 24 shots but only managing four of them on target.

In the Third Round of the FA Cup, Bournemouth took on a struggling QPR. Sinclair Armstrong and Lyndon Dykes gave QPR a shock 2 - 0 lead at halftime. However, goals from Marcus Tavernier, Kieffer Moore and Kluivert gave Bournemouth a 3 - 2 comeback win.

The last time out for Bournemouth was against top-of-the-Premier League Liverpool. A brace for Darwin Nunez and a brace for Diogo Jota gave Liverpool the dominant 4 - 0 win.

Swansea City

In their last five games in all competitions, Swansea have two wins, two draws and one loss.

Swansea opened the scoring in the seventh minute through Walsh but Haji Wright equalised almost immediately. Ellis Simms then gave Coventry the lead in the second half with Swansea waiting late on to grab the equaliser, Liam Cullen scoring to grab the 2 - 2 draw.

Cullen was on the scoresheet again for Swansea, this time against West Brom. Cullen’s goal was the only goal of the game in the 1 - 0 win for Swansea despite having just 42% of the possession and four shots on target.

In the Third Round of the FA Cup, Swansea hosted League Two Morecambe. Charlie Patino and Jerry Yates both scored in the second half in a dominant 2 - 0 win for Swansea over a Morecambe side who couldn’t register a single shot on target.

Back in the Championship, Swansea took on Birmingham City. Harry Darling opened the scoring for The Swans but Siriki Dembele equalised for Birmingham just two minutes later. Jamal Lowe regained the lead for Swansea in the second half but Jordan James equalised in the 95th minute for a 2 - 2 draw.

The most recent outing for Swansea was against Southampton. All four goals came in the first half, with Che Adams and Will Smallbone firing Southampton into the lead. Jamie Paterson got Swansea off the mark but Flynn Downes secured the 3 - 1 win for Southampton.

Bournemouth have managed to find their scoring boots recently, and though this Thursday might not have the biggest scoreline ever, it will likely have Bournemouth as the side on top. We predict AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Swansea City.

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Bournemouth vs Swansea was not a TV pick for the Fourth Round but can be followed on the radio on BBC Five Live.

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