Our Premier League Tips for Gameweek 33 - 23/04/21

Arsenal have won their last seven home games against Everton but have failed to win at the Emirates in their last four attempts in all competitions. Every home win that Arsenal have had this season has seen over 2.5 goals and we think this will continue against a strong Everton side, despite being without strikers Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette.

The Toffees have lost just once away from home since November 1st, which puts them second in the league on away from over the last 10 games. It looks like they will also be without their top goalscorer, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin seeming unlikely to feature.

We expect an entertaining game, with Arsenal coming out on top and winning with over 2.5 goals in the game, which is priced at 9/4. At the same time, Eddie Nketiah is 4/1 to open the scoring as he stands in for Aubameyang and Lacazette.

The Olympic Stadium plays host to a real six-pointer as West Ham United battle Chelsea as the two sides compete for a place in the Champions League. The Hammers were leapfrogged by this week’s opponents in the last gameweek, as they lost 3-2 away at struggling Newcastle United in a shock result.

The loss of captain Declan Rice will undoubtedly be a massive one for the home side as they look to bounce back in this London derby, but with 19 points from a possible 24 in home games in 2021, they will certainly be hard to beat.

Chelsea’s incredible run under Thomas Tuchel has begun to stutter recently and they now have just one win in their last four, with none of these games coming against a team in the top nine. The Blues are also winless in their last three visits to West Ham, but are unbeaten away from home under Tuchel, which in our opinion, points to a draw.

This is priced at 13/5.

With relegation now finally confirmed for Sheffield United, they are now playing for pride, as well as trying to adapt to life under their new boss Paul Heckingbottom. Unfortunately for the Blades, Heckingbottom has been unable to turn their woeful form around and they are yet to pick up a point under the four games since he took over.

Brighton, on the other hand, may not consider themselves 100% safe at the moment, after Newcastle United’s recent change in form. However, a win here would all but guarantee safety and they may well be confident of picking up three points this weekend, having lost just once in their last five, which was against second-placed Manchester United.

The visitors have not beaten Sheffield United since 2005, but we think they will be successful this weekend.

Leeds United will play hosts to United in the Premier League this weekend for the first time in 16 years. It will also be the first time United have stepped foot on a pitch since the disastrous collapse of the European Super League, and it'll be interesting to see how the players react after it clearly shook Chelsea, Liverpool and both Milan teams during the week.

The news broke whilst United were playing Burnley, and this didn't seem to bother Mason Greenwood, who bagged another goal in what was previously looked at as a poor season for the youngster. Now, after his double against Burnley, Greenwood has now netted four in his last three Premier League games, whilst he also got a fabulous assist for Edinson Cavani against Tottenham Hotspur a few weeks back.

On the other hand, Marcus Rashford has 20 goals in all competitions this weekend and can break his best of 23 set last season if his form continues, whilst he also assisted against Burnley for Greenwood, making Rashford's overall tally to 11 for the season.

With this game finishing 6-2 at Old Trafford last time out, goals galore is expected once again, as the two sides really do go all out on the attacking front, so we're going for the 80/1 for Greenwood and Rashford to assist each other.

There is also another derby taking place this weekend, as Aston Villa face West Brom in a Midlands Derby. Villa have lost their last two games 2-1, despite taking the lead in both games and are 6/4 to be leading at half-time this weekend. Seven of the last nine league games at Villa Park between these two sides have been decided by a single goal and it could be another tight, scrappy game this weekend as Aston Villa look to send West Brom one step closer to relegation.

The Baggies have won their last two games by three goals and are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the Premier League table as they desperately scramble to avoid relegation at the first time of asking. Three of their last four losses have come by a one-goal margin.

We think it’s too little too late for West Brom, and this weekend could be the final nail in the coffin as Villa end any realistic hopes for safety.

Aston Villa to win the game by a one-goal margin is 5/2, whilst 2-1 is 7/1.

By Tom Eaton