Brentford vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips

Brentford’s form this season has been very “Jekyll and Hyde.” However, we think it will be the former at the weekend as they host Newcastle United.

Despite the excellent draw in midweek, Brentford's home record is simply too fantastic and will pose some discomfort to Newcastle United. This season, Brentford won six of their seven home games at the GTECH Community Stadium, giving them the best home record in the Premier League, ahead of Liverpool. The Bees have scored 22 goals at home this season.

However, they are prone to conceding as Thomas Frank's side have conceded 12 in seven home league games. The Magpies are winless in their previous three and are without a clean sheet in four. Expect goals in this fixture, as both teams scored in nine of the last ten involving Brentford and over 2.5 goals in four of the previous five involving the Bees.

We predict a high-scoring game between these two sides, and with Brentford having a superior home advantage, we are looking at a 3-2 win for the Bees.

Brentford 3-2 Newcastle United.

Brentford’s home form will indeed be tested as they host a Newcastle United side fresh off a remarkable draw against Liverpool in midweek.

Date: 07/12/2024
Location: GTECH Community Stadium, Brentford.
Kick-Off: 3 pm

Brentford have become one of the more established teams in the Premier League under Thomas Frank as they head into their fourth consecutive season in England’s top flight. This season could prove relatively successful for Brentford as they are approaching the European places after 14 games. The Bees are in ninth place in the Premier League and are only two points behind seventh-placed Aston Villa, meaning a win provided with results elsewhere will move Brentford into the top seven. Brentford have accumulated 20 points this season, scoring 27 and conceding 26.

Newcastle United, under Eddie Howe, are also in the mix to potentially secure a European place this season. The Magpies are level on points with Brentford this season and sit in tenth place in the Premier League. Newcastle United have won five of their 14 games this season, drawing five and losing four. Eddie Howe’s side have scored 17 and conceded 17 this season.

The two teams' meetings last season were in Newcastle United’s favour, with a 1-0 win at St.James’ Park and a 4-2 win in this fixture last season.

The game will not be available for viewing in the UK.

Rico Henry and Kristoffer Ajer head up a six-strong injury list for Thomas Frank.

Fabian Schar, Joelinton and Sandro Tonali are all running the risk of suspension for this game.

The recent history between the two sides suggests that Newcastle United will be the overwhelming favourites for this game. The Magpies have won the last five meetings between the two teams and are unbeaten in the previous six meetings. Brentford have an awful tendency to concede goals in general, and in this fixture, they are without a clean sheet in their last six. Expect goals in this fixture, as both teams scored in nine of the last ten involving Brentford and over 2.5 goals in four of the previous five involving the Bees.

As mentioned, Brentford have experienced brilliance at home this season and tales of woe on their travels, as the Bees possess the best home record in the Premier League and one of the worst away records in the competition. Brentford are coming into this game with two wins in their previous five and two losses. Conveniently, the wins have come at home, with both losses on their travels. In those five games, Brentford have failed to keep a clean sheet on four occasions.

The Bees record at home is there for all to be seen, as they have averaged 2.71 points per game at home, compared to 0.14 points per game on their travels. In their most recent match, Brentford fell victim to their atrocious away form as they succumbed to a 3-1 defeat away at Villa Park in a game where their opponents primarily dominated them. Their most recent home game brought obvious success as Brentford recorded a 4-1 win over Leicester City.

As for Newcastle United, the Magpies are winless in their previous three and are without a clean sheet in four. Interestingly, Newcastle United are unbeaten in their last two and have been involved in games with late deciding goals being the factor. In their previous away game, Newcastle United were dealt a late blow by Daniel Munoz, who rescued a point for Crystal Palace.

In their recent league fixture though, Newcastle United took the favour in return and secured a late comeback draw against Liverpool. Alexander Isak opened the scoring in the first half with a tremendous effort from the edge of the box. Curtis Jones equalised for the Reds in the second half until Anthony Gordon took advantage of some lacklustre Liverpool defending to score Newcastle’s second. A quickfire brace from Mohamed Salah looked to have given Liverpool the lead before Fabian Schar equalised in the 90th minute.

• Latest match predictions
• Football tips
• Football accumulator tips
• Football bet of the day