The Most Statistically-Backed Over 2.5 Goals Tips - 30/1/22

On Sunday morning, Newcastle Jets take on Adelaide United at the McDonald Jones Stadium in a battle of 11th against fifth in the standings.

Newcastle come into this game having seen all of their last five matches have over 2.5 goals in them following their recent 2-1 loss to Macarthur FC, having also beaten Wellington Pehonix 4-0, as well as managing back to back 2-2 draws against Sydney and Western Sydney Wanderers off the back of a 2-1 loss to Central Coast Mariners.

On the other hand, three of Adelaide’s last four games have seen over 2.5 goals in them, having beaten the likes of Wellington Pheonix 4-0 and Brisbane Roar 3-1 on either side of a 2-2 draw with Melbourne City.
The last meeting between these two sides was all the way back in March 2020 where the Jets ran out as 3-0 winners thanks to goals by Roy O’Donovan, Matthew Millar and Steven Ugarkovic.

The next tip comes from the Belgian Pro League where top of the table Union Saint-Gilloise go head to head with fourth-place Anderlecht.

Union are having a sensational season and are nine points clear of Club Brugge after 24 matches and having managed 56 goals, four more than second top scorers Anderlecht.

Three of Saint-Gilloise’s last five matches have seen the over 2.5 goals market land, having managed 2-1, 4-0 and 3-2 victories over Genk, RFC Seraing and Cercle Brugge.

Vincent Kompany’s men haven’t seen this market come off in their last three matches, following a 2-0 loss to Cercle Brugge, as well as a 1-0 win against Mechelen and 1-1 draw with fierce rivals Standard Liege, but, they did thump the likes of Beerchot 7-0 and draw 2-2 with Club Brugge prior to their three most recent results.

When these two sides met earlier on in the season, it was Saint-Gilloise who stunned Anderlecht by beating them 3-1 at Lotto Park thanks to a Deniz Undav brace and a goal from Jean Thierry Lazare Amani goal.

In the 1. HNL, sixth in the table Lokomotiva Zagreb faces bottom of the table Hrvatski Dragovolijac.

Four of Lokomotiva’s last five matches have had over 2.5 goals in them, having lost 2-1 and 3-1 to the likes of Slaven Koprivnica and Osijek, as well as managing a 3-3 draw against Hajduk Split on top of a 2-2 draw with HNK Gorica.

Dragovolijac have conceded 49 goals in 20 league matches so far and have seen the over 2.5 goals market land in three of their last five games, predictably, all in losses, having been beaten 3-0 by Istra 1961, 4-1 against Rijeka, as well as 2-1 versus Sloven Koprivinica.

In Liga NOS, top of the table FC Porto hosts ninth-place Maritimo at the Estadio do Dragao, with Sergio Conceicao’s side looking to extend their six-point gap to Sporting Lisbon.

FC Porto are the second top scorers in the division with 51 goals in 19 matches and are also unbeaten in the competition. These stats are signified by the fact that Porto have won all of their last five games and seen the over 2.5 goals market land in each of them, following two 3-1 victories over Famalicao and Benfica, as well as narrowly beating Estoril 3-2 and thumping Belenenses and Vizela 4-1 and 4-0.

On the other hand, Maritimo have been involved in two games from their last five with over 2.5 goals in them, with these matches having very different outcomes, having narrowly defeated Portimonense 2-1 in early January and being thrashed 7-1 away at Benfica on December 19th.

The final tip on this list comes from the Swiss Super League in a crucial relegation battle match between ninth in the table Lausanne Sport and eighth-place St. Gallen.

Just two of Lausanne’s last five matches have seen then over 2.5 goals market land, having lost 3-1 to Zurich and 3-0 at home to Servette. But, they did show that they can be a good team on their day when they earned a 1-1 draw with Basel in early December, having taken the lead in the later mentioned match in the 92nd minute through Stjepan Kukuruzovic, only to be pegged back by a goal from ex-Fulham man Pajtim Kasami just three minutes later.

St. Gallen have seen three of their last four games have over 2.5 goals in them, of which they were all in defeats to Zurich and Sion by 3-1 scorelines, as well as Grasshopper in a heavy 4-0 defeat.

Three of the last four times these sides have met have yielded over 2.5 goals, with the records being fairly even, with both sides winning two each, with Laussane managing 1-0 and 4-3 victories in this fixture, whilst St.Gallen have beaten Sunday’s opponents 2-1 and 5-0 within the last 12 months.