PSG face Tottenham Hotspur in the UEFA Super Cup at the Stadio Friuli in Udine, Italy, on Wednesday night. Both clubs are chasing their first-ever Super Cup crown and enter this fixture after European triumphs last season - PSG won the Champions League in style, dismantling Inter Milan 5-0, while Spurs clinched their first European silverware since 1984 by edging Manchester United in the Europa League final.
PSG arrive as favourites for this tie, priced at 21/50 to win within 90 minutes and boasting a 70% implied probability based on current betting markets. Luis Enrique’s side carry some momentum from their commanding European performances, with the pace and creativity of Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, and Desire Doue forming a dynamic attack. PSG’s squad may need some time to settle after a short preseason, but their first opportunity for major silverware this campaign is likely to prompt a full-strength team.
Tottenham, managed this season by Thomas Frank after Ange Postecoglou’s summer departure, arrive as outsiders but with plenty of motivation. Their recent pre-season included a heavy 4-0 defeat to Bayern Munich, but they will be keen to put that behind them in pursuit of a second trophy in as many months. Spurs’ strengths often lie in set-pieces, although the absence of James Maddison due to injury removes a key creative outlet from dead-ball situations. Brennan Johnson, hero of their Europa League final, and forwards Mathys Tel and Wilson Odobert will be looked to for attacking threat, while defenders Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven face the challenge of containing PSG’s quick front line.
The tactical battle may hinge on how well Tottenham’s back line can stand up to PSG’s fluid movement and wide play. Conversely, Spurs’ ability to absorb pressure and find moments on the break remains a key asset. Midfield play will be crucial and will likely dictate whether or not Spurs can break PSG's ferocious pressing, which will be crucial to unlocking the space they often leave in front of their back four.
Both clubs have historically faltered in this competition, so lifting the trophy would be a landmark. PSG finished runners-up in their sole prior Super Cup appearance, while Tottenham aim to become the seventh English club to claim the title.
Ultimately, though, Spurs' squad still looks lacking quality-wise, particularly in the forward areas. Spurs are likely to be without Dominic Solanke, meaning Richarlison will lead the line, and as previously mentioned, James Maddison is projected to be out for the season. The quality differential between the two teams is notable, and while Spurs have the means to deliver a stubborn performance, the European champions should make good on their favourites tag on Wednesday night.
PSG 2-0 Tottenham
