Chelsea are looking to rebound from a 1-2 defeat to Aston Villa on Saturday as they lock horns with Bournemouth on Tuesday night in the Premier League.
- Date: 30/12/2025
- Kick-off: 7:30pm
- Location: Stamford Bridge, West London
Chelsea’s broader league campaign has been reasonably solid, with a positive goal difference built on a strong defensive record at home and a more variable one away. Across their last 10 home matches in all competitions, Chelsea have scored 20 goals (2 per game) and conceded 8 (0.8 per game), underlining a pattern of reliable scoring and generally controlled defending at Stamford Bridge. In that sample, over 2.5 goals has landed in 6 of 10 Chelsea home games and over 1.5 in nine of 10.
Bournemouth’s recent run has been characterised by more volatile scorelines. Their last 10 away games have produced 17 goals scored and 31 conceded (1.7 for and 3.1 against per match), for an average of 4.8 total goals per away fixture. In that span, over 2.5 goals has landed in 9 of 10 away matches and over 3.5 in 9 of 10, with Bournemouth failing to score in only one of those games but conceding two or more in the majority. That profile aligns with season‑long data showing over 2.5 goals in 59–61% of Bournemouth’s league fixtures.
Chelsea’s home form is generally strong. With the Blues winning six of their last nine at home, scoring in every match. They have scored at least once in 10 of their last 11 on home soil and over 1.5 goals have been scored in ten of their last 11 home games, with clean sheets occurring only in five of those 11 games.
By contrast, Bournemouth’s away record is more mixed: 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats in their last 10, reflecting a side that can cause problems going forward but regularly leave themselves open at the back. Their away BTTS rate is high, with both teams scoring in 70% of their last 10 away fixtures, and over 2.5 goals also landing in 90% in that span. They have scored in 9 of those 10 away games and hit over 1.5 team goals in 50%, but their concession record (31 against) shows how often matches tilt into open, end‑to‑end territory when they travel.
In Chelsea’s last 10 home matches, BTTS has landed less frequently than over 2.5, and they have kept enough home clean sheets to keep BTTS from being a default expectation, even when games go over 2.5 goals.
For Bournemouth, the numbers are much more heavily skewed towards both BTTS and high totals away from home. Their last 10 away fixtures show BTTS in 70% and over 2.5 goals in 90%, underlining how often they both score and concede on their travels. Combined with season‑long stats showing over 2.5 goals in around 60% of their Premier League games and a high rate of over 1.5 match goals, Bournemouth are one of the division’s more reliable sides for open contests, especially on the road.
Chelsea 3-1 Bournemouth
