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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips

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Vinicius Junior to Score Anytime @ 6/5
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Real Madrid 3-1 Rayo Vallecano @ 9/1
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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Real Madrid are clear favourites to win their home game with Rayo Vallecano on Sunday due to the overall quality of their squad, as well as the fact that they have won four of their last five matches.

Los Blancos have the best home record in the division when it comes to points per game, as they’ve accumulated 31 points from 12 games at the Santiago Bernabéu, with only Atlético Madrid and Barcelona taking points off them at home.

Rayo Vallecano have the sixth-best away record in the division, however, they have only won four of their 13 away games.

With Real averaging just shy of three goals per game (2.58) at home and conceding 0.9 times per game at home, we predict that they will emerge as 3-1 victors here.

Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Preview

Third-place Real Madrid hosts seventh-place Rayo Vallecano in what should be an entertaining La Liga match-up at the Santiago Bernabéu.

Date: 09/03/2025

Location: Santiago Bernabéu

Time: 3:15pm

When these two sides last met on 14th December the game resulted in a thrilling 3-3 draw at Estadio de Vallecas, as Isi levelled the score up for Vallecano in the 64th-minute after Real Madrid had come back from 2-0 down thanks to goals by Federico Valverde Jude Bellingham and Rodrygo.

Real are fighting on all fronts as they are just three points behind top of the table Barcelona in La Liga, having earned 54 points from 26 matches following 16 wins, six draws and four defeats.

As far as cup competitions go, Los Blancos are in control of their Copa del Rey semi-final tie with Real Sociedad having won the first leg 1-0 after progressing past Leganes (3-2), Celta Vigo (5-2) and Minera (5-0).

In the Champions League, Real look like a force to be reckoned with once again, as despite having a below-par group stage, having earned 15 points from eight matches following wins over Stuttgart (3-1), Borussia Dortmund (5-2), Atalanta (3-2), Red Bull Salzburg (5-1) and Brest (3-0) while suffering defeats to Lille (1-0), AC Milan (3-1) and Liverpool (2-0).

Ancelotti’s men have looked far more convincing in the Champions League’s knockout stages, though, as they thrashed Manchester City 6-3 on aggregate while earning a vital 2-1 home win against Atlético Madrid in the first leg of their Round of 16 tie.

Rayo Vallecano are having a very impressive campaign, as they look set to significantly improve on last season’s 17th-place finish, where they earned just 38 points. The visitors are seventh on 36 points, just two points behind sixth-place Real Betis, who occupy the final European qualification place.

Inigo Perez deserves a lot of credit for Vallecano’s improvement, having shown fantastic managerial credentials at the age of just 37. The ex-Osasuna midfielder took the job in mid-February last season and consolidated their place in the division prior to this campaign. Interestingly, Perez was supposed to move to AFC Bournemouth with Andoni Iraola, however, he wasn’t granted a work permit to move to the Vitality Stadium as assistant manager.

In the Copa del Rey, Vallecano were knocked out in the quarter-finals by Real Sociedad (3-1) after beating Racing Ferrol (3-1), Unionistas (3-2) and Villamuriel (5-0).

Where to Watch

Real Madrid versus Rayo Vallecano will be broadcast live on Premier Sports 2 and LaLigaTV.

Team News

Real Madrid

Daniel Carvajal, Eder Militao, Jesus Vallejo and Daniel Ceballos are Real Madrid’s only injury absences for this match.

Rayo Vallecano

Abdul Mumin, Unai Lopez, Randy Nteka, Sergio Camello and Isi Palazon will all be unavailable for Vallecano’s trip to the Santiago Bernabéu due to injury.

Form Guide

Real Madrid

Real Madrid are in decent form heading into this game, winning four and losing one of their last five matches.

The anomaly was a 2-1 loss to Real Betis on 1st March, where ex-Real playmaker Isco scored the winning goal. Prior to that game, Los Blancos had earned victories over Real Sociedad (1-0), Girona (2-0) and Manchester City 6-3 on aggregate in the Champions League’s Round of 32.

Last time out, Carlo Ancelotti’s men earned a 2-1 home win over Atlético Madrid in the Champions League’s Round of 16 first leg as Rodrygo and Brahim Diaz got on the scoresheet on either side of Julian Alvarez’s stunning 32nd-minute equaliser.

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano enter this game without a win in their last three matches having recently drawn 1-1 at home with Sevilla after suffering back-to-back 1-0 defeats to both Villarreal and Barcelona.

In the run-up to those aforementioned matches, Vallecano earned narrow 1-0 wins over Real Valladolid and Leganes with Pathe Ciss scoring the only goal of the game against the latter mentioned opponent.

Header logoPrimera División

PosClubPWDLGDPTS
2
Team logoAtlético
271692+2757
3
Team logoReal Madrid
261664+3054
4
Team logoAthletic Club
261394+2148
Last updated 09/03/2025

Header logoPrimera División

PosClubPWDLGDPTS
6
Team logoBetis
261088+138
7
Team logoVallecano
26998+136
8
Team logoCelta Vigo
2710611-136
Last updated 09/03/2025

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