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FA Cup Final: Manchester City vs Manchester United Key Stats, Insights & Markets


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Man City to win and De Bruyne to assist Haaland in each game in 90 mins (was 14/1) @ 20/1

FA Cup Final: Manchester City vs Manchester United Key Stats, Insights & Markets

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On Saturday 3rd of June, Manchester City and Manchester United meet in what will be the first-ever Manchester derby cup final.

There is added significance to this game, as Pep Guardiola’s men look well on their way to winning a potential treble as they managed to book their place in this season’s Champions League final against Inter Milan in Istanbul - United are the only team in English football history to achieve a Premier League, FA Cup and Champions League treble, doing so in 1998/99.

If United manage to stop City, then, in turn, they will win their first-ever domestic cup double (League Cup and FA Cup) and cap off a superb first season for Erik ten Hag.

This will be the first time that these sides have met in the FA Cup since Manchester United beat City 3-2 at the Etihad Stadium back in January 2012, where the Red Devils took full advantage of a 12th-minute red card for Vincent Kompany by racing into a 3-0 lead thanks to goals by Wayne Rooney (2) and Danny Welbeck before City set up a grandstand finish via strikes from Aleksandr Kolarov and Sergio Aguero.

When these sides have met in the Premier League there have been contrasting results, with City thrashing United 6-3 at the Etihad Stadium back in October as Erling Haaland and Phil Foden both bagged hat-tricks; while United managed to get revenge on their city rivals with a 2-1 comeback win at Old Trafford in January via late strikes from Bruno Fernandes and Marcus Rashford.

Arguably, the league results make this game even more intriguing, with ten Hag’s men stifling City to just five shots (one on target) at the Theatre of Dreams, while the Red Devils have also shown frailties when going behind in some matches, losing 4-0, 6-3 and 7-0 to the likes of Brentford, City and Liverpool.

A frequently talked about point has been the Red Devils' lack of success away from home against the top ten sides in the Premier League this season, having only registered one win (away at Fulham), interestingly though, City have only fared slightly better, managing just two wins away at the top ten sides, with these victories coming at Arsenal and Fulham.

Each Side’s Road to the Final

Manchester City

Guardiola’s side will be full of confidence heading into this match, having wrapped up the Premier League title, as well as beating some tough opponents along the way in this competition, having knocked out the likes of Chelsea and Arsenal in earlier rounds.

There is an air of invincibility about the Cityzens, having thrashed Bayern Munich and Real Madrid in the Champions League by 4-1 and 5-1 aggregate scorelines, while prior to their final day loss to Brentford, City’s last defeat was all the way back on 5th February to Tottenham Hotspur who were managed by Cristian Stellini at the time.

Third Round: Manchester City 4-0 Chelsea

Fourth Round: Manchester City 1-0 Arsenal

Fifth Round: Bristol City 0-3 Manchester City

Quarter-Final: Manchester City 6-0 Burnley

Semi-Final: Manchester City 3-0 Sheffield United

Manchester United

Staggeringly, United have been drawn to play at home in every possible domestic cup tie this season. Ten Hag’s men have taken full advantage of their solid home record and have had good experiences at Wembley this campaign, beating Newcastle United 2-0 in the League Cup final thanks to goals by Casemiro and Rashford, while also defeating Brighton on penalties in the semi-finals.

United will be keen to improve their record in this competition, as staggeringly, they have only won the FA Cup twice since winning the treble in 1999, doing so against Millwall in 2004 and Crystal Palace in 2016.

Third Round: Manchester United 3-1 Everton

Fourth Round: Manchester United 3-1 Reading

Fifth Round: Manchester United 3-1 West Ham

Quarter-Final: Manchester United 3-1 Fulham

Semi-Final: Brighton 0-0 Manchester United (United won 7-6 on penalties)

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Manchester City Odds

Winners Odds

Inevitably, City’s odds are short-priced at 1/2 to win the match itself, while they are at 4/9 on ‘2Up’. This would be the Sky Blue’s first FA Cup win since their ‘fourmidables’ campaign in 2018/19 when they thrashed Watford 6-0 in the final thanks to goals by David Silva, Gabriel Jesus (2), Kevin De Bruyne and Raheem Sterling (2).

Goalscorer Odds

Erling Haaland is priced at 9/4 to score first or last in this game, having scored 52 goals and created nine assists in 51 matches so far this campaign, averaging a goal every 76 minutes.

De Bruyne is perhaps a player to look out for when it comes to the Score or Assist markets, having managed six goal contributions against the Red Devils in his last three appearances. The 31-year-old Belgian is priced at 9/4 to assist Haaland in the final.

Card Markets

Bernardo Silva is City’s most-carded player, having been shown a total of nine yellow cards in 53 matches seeing him priced at 4/1 to receive a booking, while ex-Atletico Madrid man Rodri follows closely with eight in 54 appearances across all competitions and has the odds of 7/2 to be carded.

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Haaland to score, Fernandes 1+ shot on target and Silva & Shaw to be carded in 90 mins (was 50/1) @ 66/1

Manchester United Odds

Winners Odds

United could provide good value for the final as staggeringly, they are priced at 5/1 to win on Saturday while being at 9/2 to go ‘2Up’

Goalscorer Odds

In terms of goalscorers, Rashford will be United’s main threat, as the Mancunian forward has scored 30 goals and created nine assists in 55 matches and has scored four times in this fixture. The 25-year-old is priced at 7/1 to score first in the FA Cup final.

Bruno Fernandes is the Red Devils' second top scorer with 13 goals and 13 assists this campaign, the ex-Sporting Lisbon man is at 20/1 to score from outside the penalty area.

Card Markets

Casemiro is United’s most booked player with 13 yellow cards and two red cards to his name - the 31-year-old has managed this in 50 appearances for the Red Devils across all competitions and is priced at 6/4 to be booked on Saturday.

Fernandes and Luke Shaw are United’s second-most carded players, having both been shown a total of 12 yellow cards each. Shaw is priced at 2/1 to be booked, while Fernandes is at 9/4.

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