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Euro 2024 Qualifying: Poland vs. Estonia Prediction & Betting Tips

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Poland

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    Estonia

      1

      Overview

      • (22') P. Frankowski
      • (50') P. Zieliński
      • (70') J. Piotrowski
      • (73') K. Mets (OG)
      • (76') S. Szymański
      Football
      • (78') M. Vetkal
      • (60') T. Puchacz
      Yellow Card
      • (15') M. Paskotši
        Red Card
        • (27') M. Paskotši
        George

        Euro 2024 Qualifying Poland vs. Estonia

        As the Euro 2024 playoff semi-final beckons, two teams with contrasting stories, Poland and Estonia, find themselves at a crucial juncture, each with dreams of making it to the European Championship. For Poland, participation in Germany this summer is an expectation while for Estonia it's little more than a distant dream.

        Date: 21/03/2024

        Kick-off time: 19:45

        Location: Kazimierz Górski National Stadium

        Poland's journey to the Euro 2024 playoffs has been anything but smooth. Finishing 3rd in a qualifying group that included Albania, the Czech Republic, Moldova, and the Faroe Islands, Poland's performance was a stark disappointment. This was a group Poland were expected not just to advance from but to dominate, considering their status as the strongest team on paper. Yet, the underperformance in the Euro 2024 qualifying phase wasn't an isolated incident. The echoes of their lacklustre display at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, where despite progressing from their group their uninspiring performances were evident, which for many had already set a precedent for concern.

        The managerial seat of Poland's national team has seen its share of turbulence. Fernando Santos, the architect behind Portugal's Euro 2016 victory, took the helm post-Qatar with high expectations. However, Santos' tenure was short-lived, marked by criticism over his style of play, squad selections, and disengagement from the domestic football scene in Poland. His dismissal came just two months before the end of the qualifying round, leaving the team in a precarious situation.

        In a bold move, Michał Probierz was appointed as the new manager. Previously at the helm of the Poland U21 team, Probierz was tasked with navigating the team out of the turmoil. With the likes of Jakub Kiwior, Piotr Zieliński, Nicola Zalewski, and the prolific Robert Lewandowski, Poland boast a squad brimming with talent. The expectation is not just to participate but to make a significant impact on the tournament. Poland's history in the competition, having last failed to qualify in 2004 and consistently appearing in major tournaments since the 2014 World Cup, underscores the magnitude of the moment. Missing out on this summer's European Championship would not only be a blow to the team's morale but also to their prestigious record.

        Estonia's path to the Euro 2024 playoffs paints a starkly different picture. Finishing at the bottom of their qualifying group, which included heavyweights like Belgium, Austria and Sweden, in addition to Azerbaijan, Estonia's record was dismal. With one draw and seven losses, their performance in the qualifiers left much to be desired. Yet, Estonia's participation in the playoffs is a testament to the unpredictability of football, thanks to their success in the 2022/23 UEFA Nations League campaign, where they topped Group D2.

        The system that allows a team to participate in the European Championship playoffs based on performance in the Nations League, where competition is structured in an egalitarian manner, is contentious as it favours lesser sides with fewer quality players which, in turn, can potentially dilute the final tournament. However, for Estonia, this is a chance to make history. Under the guidance of manager Thomas Häberli, Estonia are an underdog with everything to gain and little to lose.

        Estonia's squad, heavily reliant on players from the domestic league, lacks the star power of their opponents. Yet, in Martin Vetkal and Karl Jacob Hein, they have young talents who promise to make an impact. Captain Konstantin Vassiljev, at 39, embodies the spirit and perseverance of Estonian football, eyeing his 157th cap in a career that has been nothing short of remarkable. For Estonia, a nation yet to qualify for the finals of a major international tournament, this playoff is more than a game—it's a chance to defy the odds and etch their name in history.

        Poland To Win To Nil

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        Poland To Win To Nil @ 8/13
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        Half-Time/Full-Time

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        Poland/Poland @ 8/13
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        Goal Handicap (-1)

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        Poland (-1.0) @ 8/13
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        Team News

        Poland Team News:

        Probierz has deployed a 3-5-2 formation in his two games in charge of Poland and it's likely he'll stick with that here. Arsenal's Jakub Kiwior and Southampton's Jan Bednarek should both start in the back three in front of Wojciech Szczęsny between the sticks, while Aston Villa's Matty Cash will hope to start at right wing-back.

        Additionally, Napoli's Piotr Zieliński should be the man pulling the strings in midfield while Roma's Nicola Zalewski looks likely to start at left wing-back. Robert Lewandowski, of course, will start up top, likely alongside either Hellas Verona's Karol Świderski or Krzysztof Piątek of İstanbul Başakşehir.

        Estonia Team News:

        Roma's Martin Vetkal is likely to come right into the heart of the midfield after he was absent from the squad for November's qualifying matches.

        20-year-old Oliver Jürgens led the line in Estonia's final qualifier in Sweden from the start and will hope to retain his place here, but he'll face stiff competition from Henri Anier. Arsenal's Karl Jakob Hein will likely continue in goal for the Eastern Europeans.

        Form Guide (Last Five Games)

        Poland's form is not particularly impressive as they enter this game having won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five games. Their most recent outing saw them claim a 2-0 win over Latvia in a friendly, with the goals coming from Przemysław Frankowski and Robert Lewandowski.

        The win over Latvia means their only two victories in their last five matches have occurred against European minnows, with their only other win coming in the shape of a dull 2-0 victory, via goals from Sebastian Szymański and Adam Buksa, away at a Faroe Islands side that spent half the game playing with ten men.

        Poland's other three outings saw them held to 1-1 draws at home to the Czech Republic and Moldova, two results that preceded a 2-0 defeat away in Albania.

        If Poland's form is poor then Estonia's is even worse, as they enter this game having drawn one and lost four of their last five games. Estonia's latest outing resulted in a 2-1 friendly defeat away in Sweden in January, but given that was a friendly organised outside of the regular international windows it was played out using squads comprised of fringe players on both sides.

        Prior to that, Estonia fell to a 2-0 defeat to the same (but full-strength) opponents in Sweden in their final Euro 2024 qualifier, a result that followed a 0-2 defeat to Austria, a 1-1 draw to Thailand in a friendly and a very deflating 0-2 loss at home to Azerbaijan.

        All in all, Estonia are now eleven games without a win having failed to register a victory since beating Finland 1-0 away from home in a friendly in January 2023.

        Footy Accumulators Prediction

        Poland are nowhere near their best form but are somewhat of an unknown quantity given they're only two games into a new manager's reign. Regardless, they'd have to be worse than bad to lose to an Estonia side that are devoid of both form and individual quality and are, in all honesty, at their worst point in years. We predict: Poland 2-0 Estonia.

        Don’t forget to check out the rest of our previews, tips and offers for this weekend’s action. Footy Accumulators is the #1 football betting site for the latest on betting in the UK - download the Betting Hub app for more!

        Header logoEuro 2024 Qualifying - Group E

        PosClubPWDLGDPTS
        1
        Team logoAlbania
        8431+815
        2
        Team logoCzechia
        8431+615
        3
        Team logoPoland
        8323011
        4
        Team logoMoldova
        8242-310
        5
        Team logoFaroe Islands
        8026-112
        Last updated 13/04/2024

        Header logoEuro 2024 Qualifying - Group F

        PosClubPWDLGDPTS
        1
        Team logoBelgium
        8620+1820
        2
        Team logoAustria
        8611+1019
        3
        Team logoSweden
        8314+210
        4
        Team logoAzerbaijan
        8215-107
        5
        Team logoEstonia
        8017-201
        Last updated 13/04/2024

        Where To Watch

        This game will be live for all subscribed U.K. viewers to watch on Viaplay Xtra.

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