As the Euro 2024 playoff semi-final beckons, two teams with contrasting stories, Poland and Estonia, find themselves at a crucial juncture, each with dreams of making it to the European Championship. For Poland, participation in Germany this summer is an expectation while for Estonia it's little more than a distant dream.
Date: 21/03/2024
Kick-off time: 19:45
Location: Kazimierz Górski National Stadium
Poland's journey to the Euro 2024 playoffs has been anything but smooth. Finishing 3rd in a qualifying group that included Albania, the Czech Republic, Moldova, and the Faroe Islands, Poland's performance was a stark disappointment. This was a group Poland were expected not just to advance from but to dominate, considering their status as the strongest team on paper. Yet, the underperformance in the Euro 2024 qualifying phase wasn't an isolated incident. The echoes of their lacklustre display at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, where despite progressing from their group their uninspiring performances were evident, which for many had already set a precedent for concern.
The managerial seat of Poland's national team has seen its share of turbulence. Fernando Santos, the architect behind Portugal's Euro 2016 victory, took the helm post-Qatar with high expectations. However, Santos' tenure was short-lived, marked by criticism over his style of play, squad selections, and disengagement from the domestic football scene in Poland. His dismissal came just two months before the end of the qualifying round, leaving the team in a precarious situation.
In a bold move, Michał Probierz was appointed as the new manager. Previously at the helm of the Poland U21 team, Probierz was tasked with navigating the team out of the turmoil. With the likes of Jakub Kiwior, Piotr Zieliński, Nicola Zalewski, and the prolific Robert Lewandowski, Poland boast a squad brimming with talent. The expectation is not just to participate but to make a significant impact on the tournament. Poland's history in the competition, having last failed to qualify in 2004 and consistently appearing in major tournaments since the 2014 World Cup, underscores the magnitude of the moment. Missing out on this summer's European Championship would not only be a blow to the team's morale but also to their prestigious record.
Estonia's path to the Euro 2024 playoffs paints a starkly different picture. Finishing at the bottom of their qualifying group, which included heavyweights like Belgium, Austria and Sweden, in addition to Azerbaijan, Estonia's record was dismal. With one draw and seven losses, their performance in the qualifiers left much to be desired. Yet, Estonia's participation in the playoffs is a testament to the unpredictability of football, thanks to their success in the 2022/23 UEFA Nations League campaign, where they topped Group D2.
The system that allows a team to participate in the European Championship playoffs based on performance in the Nations League, where competition is structured in an egalitarian manner, is contentious as it favours lesser sides with fewer quality players which, in turn, can potentially dilute the final tournament. However, for Estonia, this is a chance to make history. Under the guidance of manager Thomas Häberli, Estonia are an underdog with everything to gain and little to lose.
Estonia's squad, heavily reliant on players from the domestic league, lacks the star power of their opponents. Yet, in Martin Vetkal and Karl Jacob Hein, they have young talents who promise to make an impact. Captain Konstantin Vassiljev, at 39, embodies the spirit and perseverance of Estonian football, eyeing his 157th cap in a career that has been nothing short of remarkable. For Estonia, a nation yet to qualify for the finals of a major international tournament, this playoff is more than a game—it's a chance to defy the odds and etch their name in history.