Smart Acca Picks: Spain vs Portugal Looks Like Good Value

The first tip on this list comes from Israel against Iceland in Group B2 of the UEFA Nations League.

Four of Israel’s last five matches have seen the Over 2.5 Goals market land, as they drew 2-2 with Romania and beat the Faroe Islands 3-2 on either side of a 2-0 defeat away at Germany. Before these results, Alon Hazan’s side had lost 4-2 to Austria and beaten Moldova 2-1.

Meanwhile, three of Iceland’s last five have seen the Over 2.5 Goals market happen, with all of these matches being defeats to Spain 5-0, South Korea 5-1 and North Macedonia 3-1, having drawn 1-1 with both Finland and Uganda in this sequence of results.

According to the Betting Hub App, over the course of the last five matches, combined, these sides see 3.9 goals scored in their fixtures.

Next up sees Estonia go up against San Marino in a meeting of 110th and 211th in the FIFA World Rankings.

Only one of Estonia’s last five matches have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored, having lost 3-1 to Belgium, with their other results being a 2-0 defeat and 0-0 draw with Cyprus, as well as a 2-0 loss to the Czech Republic, as well as losing 1-0 at home to Wales.

Meanwhile, four of San Marino’s last five games have seen Over 2.5 Goals in them as prior to their 2-0 home loss to Cape Verde, they were defeated 2-1 by Lithuania, 10-0 by England, as well as 4-0 bu Hungary and 3-0 to Andorra, showing how weak their defence is.

Spain and Portugal go head to head in Group A2 of the Nations League, the first time they have met in a competitive international since their 3-3 draw in the Group Stages of the 2018 FIFA World Cup.

Spain comes into this match with three of their last five games producing Over 2.5 Goals as they thrashed Iceland 5-0 and Albania 2-1 after back to back 1-0 victories against Sweden and Greece following a 2-1 loss to France in the Nations League Final as second-half goals by Karim Benzema and Kylian Mbappe cancelled out Mikel Oyarzabal’s opener.

On the other hand, Portugal beat North Macedonia 2-0 last time out to qualify for the World Cup in Qatar as Bruno Fernandes scored a brace. Before this, three of their last four games had seen Over 2.5 Goals go in, having defeated Turkey 3-1 and Luxembourg 5-0 on either side of a 0-0 draw with the Republic of Ireland and a 2-1 home loss to Serbia.

Bulgaria and North Macedonia face off in what is set to be an interesting encounter in Group C4 of the Nations League.

Four of Bulgaria’s last five games have seen the Over 2.5 Goals market land, having lost 2-1 in back to back matches with Croatia and Qatar, whilst being thumped 4-0 away at Switzerland in their final World Cup qualifier. Before this, they had drawn 1-1 away in Ukraine and beat Northern Ireland 2-1 thanks to a brace from Todor Nedelev.

North Macedonia missed out on qualification for Qatar 2022 having lost 2-0 to Portugal despite their heroics in Italy when they beat the Euro 2020 winners 1-0 via an Aleksandar Trajkovski goal. Before this though, they had hammered the likes of Iceland 3-1, Armenia 5-0, but had been thumped 4-0 at home to Germany.

The final tip on this list comes from Georgia against Gibraltar in Group C4’s other fixture.

Georgia and Gibraltar were paired with one another in qualifying for Euro 2020, of which the former won both matches 3-2 and 3-0.

The home side are strong favourites to win this match, as they have won four of their last five matches, following a 2-1 win over Kosovo, as well as 2-0 victory over Sweden, on top of back to back 1-0 victories over both Uzbekistan and Bosnia-Herzegovina before drawing 0-0 with Albania.

Meanwhile, Prior to Gibraltar’s back to back 0-0 draws against the Faroe Islands and Grenada, they had leaked 15 goals in their last three matches, having been beaten 3-1 at home to Latvia, as well as 6-0 by Turkey and the Netherlands.