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England v Poland: England to win to nil

England return to Wembley following a brief stay in Tirana at the weekend, looking to make it nine points from nine, with Poland their next opponents.

Two routine wins from their first two games also saw the Three Lions keep back-to-back clean sheets, something they have become accustomed to when qualifying for major tournaments. In their last WCQ section, they conceded just three goals in ten games, and they kept five clean sheets in eight when reaching the Euro 2020 finals.

News broke on Monday morning that Poland’s star man Robert Lewandowski will miss the fixture after getting injured against Andorra, putting a huge dent in any chance they think they will have had of leaving Wembley with a result. Even so, against bigger sides, with or without Lewandowski, they have been poor in recent years. They exited the World Cup at the group stage and only managed one goal in four games against Italy and the Netherlands in the last Nations League.

England have not lost to the Poles since their first meeting in 1973, stretching back 17 head-to-heads, and they are unbeaten in their last 23 WCQ qualifiers. Our tip is for them to beat Poland to nil at Wembley, priced at 7/5.

World Cup Qualifier Tips

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England to win to nil @ 1/1
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Moldova vs Israel: Zahavi to score and win

Two nations left underwhelmed by their starts to World Cup Qualifying are Moldova and Israel, and the two will meet in Chisinau on Wednesday.

Moldova were trounced 8-0 on Sunday at the hands of Denmark, and their only wins in the past six years have been against Andorra and San Marino, therefore, a player with the goalscoring calibre of Eran Zahavi will look to fill his boots here.

The Israeli frontman has enjoyed a scintillating career, scoring an abundance of goals wherever he has been. Spells at Maccabi Tel-Aviv in his native country and with Guangzhou R&F in China saw him average roughly a goal a game across nine seasons with the two clubs. Zahavi joined PSV Eindhoven last summer and has continued to prove his prowess at a higher level, scoring 20 goals in 33 games this season.

His country will rely on him to help them secure a first win in the group, and we expect an Israel win with Zahavi to score here, available at odds of 6/4.

World Cup Qualifier Tips

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Zahavi to score and win @ 23/20
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Spain vs Kosovo: Spain to win + BTTS

2010 World Cup winners Spain will be searching for a more accomplished performance when Kosovo travel to Seville, having struggled severely in their opening two qualifiers.

La Rioja have limped to four points so far, drawing 1-1 at home to Greece and then needing a 92nd minute Dani Olmo winner in Tbilisi to see off Georgia after being behind at half-time. With UEFA’s youngest nation, Kosovo, up next, expect Luis Enrique to name a stronger side after ringing the changes at the weekend, but there is a fragility in the Spanish ranks at the moment.

Kosovo comfortably saw off Lithuania in a friendly last week before losing heavily at home to Sweden, which emphasises the inconsistency they have shown since their two-year unbeaten run came to an end in 2019. You are never quite sure whether the Kosovo which put three past England and beat the Czech Republic is going to show up, or whether the Kosovo which imploded on Sunday will. Either way, they certainly carry a threat.

We expect Spain to come through this tie as winners, but with Kosovo’s counter-attacking threat, we give them a good chance of scoring here. Spain to win with both teams to score is 15/8.

World Cup Qualifier Tips

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Spain to win and BTTS @ 15/8
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Montenegro vs Norway: Over 2.5 goals + BTTS

Montenegro have the chance to pile more misery on Norway and go top of Group G if they can win their encounter in Podgorica on Tuesday.

These are two sides whose strengths lie solely in attack, and in particular with their star men, Stevan Jovetic and Erling Haaland. Jovetic has scored three in Montenegro’s opening two qualifiers, including two stunners against Latvia on matchday one which sealed a 2-1 win. Haaland has yet to score in this international break but he has got 39 goals in all competitions this season, meaning two games constitutes a mini-drought for someone of his stature, so the Borussia Dortmund man will be looking to break that duck here.

14 goals have been scored in matches involving the two sides already this week, with both showing defensive fragilities. Montenegro conceded against minnows Gibraltar and Norway shipped three at home to Turkey.

Since Montenegro gained independence in 2006, the sides have met twice with both games producing over 2.5 and BTTS, and that is our tip here, at odds of 6/4.

World Cup Qualifier Tips

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BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 6/4
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Croatia vs Malta: Croatia to win + under 3.5 goals

The finalists from the previous edition of the World Cup, Croatia, will need to improve drastically if they are going to get anywhere near replicating their feat from 2018, with minnows Malta being their next challengers.

Their current crop is evidently past its peak now with Ivan Rakitic, Mario Mandzukic and Danijel Subasic among the players who have stepped back from international duty since their fairytale run in Russia. They have lost frequently since the last World Cup as they attempt to integrate the new generation, including on matchday one to neighbours Slovenia, but their 1-0 win over Cyprus on Saturday highlights another habit of theirs, inefficiency against the smaller sides.

Malta secured an incredible 2-2 draw against Slovakia on Saturday and managed to find the net against Russia in their opening match, but even with their current troubles, Croatia are still a huge class above the Maltese, and will almost certainly win in Rijeka, but do not expect a hammering.

Croatia to win with under 3.5 goals scored is our tip for this one, priced at 4/5 with Sky Bet.

By Andrew Delaney

World Cup Qualifier Tips

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Croatia to win and under 3.5 @ 8/11
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