Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips

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Real Madrid are favourites to win this game, having dominated the first leg of this tie, having taken 20 shots to City’s 11 during their 3-2 win at the Etihad Stadium.

Carlo Ancelotti’s side have lost just one of their last six matches against City and have lost just twice at the Santiago Bernabéu this campaign, while City have lost three of their four matches on the road in this season’s Champions League, with their only victory coming at Slovan Bratislava, while losing at Sporting Lisbon, Juventus and PSG, conceding ten goals across the latter three matches.

Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Manchester City

15-times Champions League winners Real Madrid hosts Manchester City in the second leg of their Round of 32 clash.

Date: 19/02/2025

Location: Santiago Bernabéu

Time: 8pm

Carlo Ancelotti’s side earned a dramatic, but, deserved win in the first leg of this tie as Brahim Diaz and Jude Bellingham scored late goals to win the game 3-2 at the Etihad Stadium after Erling Haaland had scored a brace on either side of Kylian Mbappé’s equaliser on the hour mark.

As previously mentioned, Real had managed 20 shots to City’s 11, accumulating 3.42 xG in the process compared to Pep Guardiola’s side’s 1.6 xG. During the game itself, Haaland managed to break his goalscoring duck against Real, meaning that the Norwegian has now scored two goals in five appearances.

City have only ever won once away at the Santiago Bernabéu, with that victory coming in February 2020 via a 2-1 scoreline as 78th and 83rd minute goals from Gabriel Jesus and Kevin De Bruyne turned the game on its head after Isco had opened the scoring for then-Zinedine Zidan’e side in the 60th-minute.

In terms of the Champions League, both of these sides actually underachieved in the Group Stage, as both were predicted to comfortably finish inside the top eight.

Real finished 11th in the standings, one point shy of Aston Villa in eighth-place, however, they only found form in his competition late on in the Group Stage, as they only managed to win two of their first five matches, having beaten Stuttgart (3-2) and Borussia Dortmund (5-2) while suffering defeats to Lille (1-0), AC Milan (3-1) and Liverpool (2-0). Crucially, the holders won their last three matches against Atalanta (3-2), Red Bull Salzburg (5-1) and Brest (3-0).

As far as their domestic season is concerned, Real are locked in a three-team title race with Barcelona and Atlético Madrid as they sit on 51 points from 24 matches, while in the Copa del Rey, Los Blancos will face Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey semi-final having progressed past Leganes (3-2), Celta Vigo (5-2) and Minera (5-0).

On the other hand, City scraped through via a 3-1 home win against Club Brugge on matchday eight, seeing them finish 22nd with 11 points from eight matches. Following their 0-0 draw with Inter Milan on matchday one, Guardiola’s side earned wins over Slovan Bratislava (4-0) and Sparta Praha (5-0) before losing to Sporting Lisbon (4-1), drawing 3-3 with Feyenoord and suffering further losses at the hands of Juventus (2-0) and PSG (4-2).

City will be aiming to re-qualify for next season’s Champions League, as they sit fourth in the table, three points behind third-place Nottingham Forest and one point above the likes of AFC Bournemouth and Chelsea, having amassed 44 points from 25 matches.

The Cityzens main trophy hope could come in the form of the FA Cup should they fail to advance past the Round of 32 in the Champions League, as they’ll take on Plymouth Argyle in the Fifth Round having advanced past Salford City (8-0) and Leyton Orient (2-1).

Real Madrid versus Manchester City will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1.

Real Madrid

David Alaba and Antonio Rüdiger could return to Real’s matchday squad, however Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao and Luis Vasquez are all set to miss out.

Manchester City

Manuel Akanji, Nathan Ake, Rúben Dias, Rodri and Jack Grealish are all set to miss City’s trip to the Santiago Bernabéu.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid were held to a 1-1 draw by Osasuna last weekend, as despite taking the lead in the 15th-minute through Kylian Mbappé, a Jude Bellingham red card turned the flow of the game before Ante Budimir scored an equaliser for the hosts in the 58th-minute.

Prior to that game, Real had beaten both Manchester City and Leganes via 3-2 scorelines on either side of a 1-1 home draw with Atlético Madrid. The first game in this sequence of results saw the home side suffer a shock 1-0 defeat away at relegation-battling Espanyol.

Manchester City

Manchester City have won three and lost two of their last five matches across all competitions.

Pep Guardiola’s side managed to beat Club Brugge 3-1 on matchday eight of the Champions League Group Stage to qualify themselves for the Round of 32, before suffering defeats to Arsenal (5-1) and Real Madrid (3-2) on either side of a narrow 2-1 FA Cup win away at Leyton Orient.

Last time out, City thrashed Newcastle 4-0 at the Etihad Stadium thanks to a hat-trick from Omar Marmoush as well as a goal from James McAtee.

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