Bournemouth’s home meeting with Burnley in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon pits two sides in need of three points against one another.
- Date: 20/12/2025
- Kick-off: 3:00pm
- Location: Dean Court, Bournemouth
Bournemouth sit 13th with 5 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats, while Burnley are 19th with 3 wins, 1 draw and 12 losses, underlining the gap between the clubs heading into the fixture. Bournemouth’s overall league record shows 25 goals scored and 28 conceded in 16 games, whereas Burnley’s goal difference stands at minus 15 from their 16 fixtures.Across the season, Bournemouth’s matches average 3.31 total goals, with over 2.5 goals landing in 63% of their league games and BTTS occurring in 56%. By contrast, broader league data show Burnley’s campaign has been defined more by defeats than by consistently open contests, though their defensive record (28 goals conceded before this round) indicates frequent concessions even when their own scoring output is limited.
At home, Bournemouth’s form reads 4 wins, 3 draws and just 1 defeat, giving them one of the more reliable mid‑table records on their own pitch. They score 1.25 and concede only 0.63 goals per home game on average, for a relatively modest 1.88 total match‑goals figure at the Vitality compared with their much wilder away numbers. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 38% of Bournemouth’s home league matches, and BTTS in 38%, suggesting home fixtures are more controlled despite their reputation this season for open football overall.Bournemouth generate around 13.5 shots per home game and average 1.60 expected goals at the Vitality, pointing to a side that can build pressure and create sustained chances. Four home clean sheets in eight league outings support the idea that they manage games fairly well once in front, particularly against teams in the lower half of the table.
Burnley arrive deep in the relegation places with 10 points from 16 games and a record that reflects persistent defensive issues against Premier League opposition. Their fixtures have typically seen opponents create good opportunities, and they have struggled for consistency both in terms of chance creation and preventing sustained pressure, which is a concern against a Bournemouth side comfortable in possession at home.
Although detailed BTTS and over‑2.5 splits for Burnley’s last five league matches are less readily broken out, their negative goal difference of minus 15 and low points total imply that matches frequently feature them conceding at least twice, especially away from Turf Moor. Given Bournemouth’s attacking metrics and Burnley’s league position, the statistical balance points more towards the hosts shaping the tempo and chance count.
Bournemouth 2-1 Burnley
