Arsenal have a huge opportunity to pile the pressure on Manchester City as they face Wolverhampton Wanderers in what is a lone midweek Premier League fixture on Wednesday.
The game is part of a week that could be pivotal at both ends of the table. Arsenal arrive in the thick of the title race, rated by many as the best side in the league, chasing their first league title since 2004. Wolves, by contrast, are entrenched in the bottom three, with one of the league’s lowest goal tallies and a season shaped by narrow margins and long spells without wins.
Wolves have major problems at both ends of the pitch, averaging an xG rate of just 1.10 per match (1.21 at home), with xG against at 1.64 (1.45 at Molineux), leaving them with an xG difference of around -0.5 per game. Only 42% of their league fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals (11 of 26), below the league average of around 55% and reflective of games that often hover around one or two goals rather than exploding.
BTTS data paints a similar picture, with only one of Wolves' last six games seeing BTTS occur. Rob Edwards' team have drawn a blank in front of goal in five of their last six league matches, making a game against the league's best defence even more intimidating.
Arsenal’s numbers come in direct contrast to those of Wolves, with Mikel Arteta's men losing only one of their last ten games, winning five of their last six. Arsenal have kept clean sheets in four of their last six games in all competitions and have scored three or more goals in four of their last six outings, making a convincing win feel like the likely outcome on Wednesday night.
The Gunners are unbeaten in nine games away from home, winning seven of those, and have a very encouraging head-to-head record against Wolves, winning all of the last nine consecutive meetings between the two teams. Arsenal haven't conceded a goal to at Molineux since February 2021, and given the shape of both teams heading into this one, that's a run they'll expect to extend.
Wolves 0-3 Arsenal
