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Southampton vs. West Ham: Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips

Premier League26/12/2024 15:00
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Southampton

vs
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West Ham United

Combined Stats

Avg. Goals

3.30

Avg. Cards

4.20

Avg. Corners

12

BTTS

70%

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

60%

George

Tip

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West Ham To Win @ 21/20
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Correct Score Prediction

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1-0 West Ham @ 17/2
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Southampton vs. West Ham: Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips

Ivan Jurić takes charge of Southampton for the first time on Boxing Day as they welcome West Ham United to St Mary's.

  • Date: 26/12/2024
  • Kick-off time: 15:00
  • Location: St Mary's Stadium, Southampton

After a torrid first few months of the season, Southampton are hoping they can put their woes behind them and pull off what would be somewhat of a great escape. The Saints are rock bottom of the Premier League table with six points, having scored the fewest number of goals in the league (11) and conceded the third most goals (36).

It was expected that Southampton would find life in the Premier League tough, but things have been so bad that manager Russell Martin was shown the door before Christmas. Under Martin, Southampton were repeatedly giving cheap goals away through their dogmatic commitment to Martin's deep buildup style, and it reached such a nonsensical point that Martin had to be relieved of his duties, with his reputation stained.

Now, Southampton have appointed Ivan Jurić, the 49-year-old Croatian who has spent the majority of his career managing in Serie A. Jurić had a tough time at Roma recently but that's par for the course for managers of the Italian giants, and the Croat did some solid work at Torino in a three-year spell preceding his Roma stint, which followed a very impressive period with Hellas Verona, where Jurić was operating with one of the lowest budgets in the whole league.

He has a monumental job in his hands if he wants to keep Southampton in the Premier League this season, but it's likely he's taken the job with at least some of a view to bringing the Saints back up next season, hopefully in a stronger position. They did, though, get a decent result at the weekend, and if they can take three points off West Ham, the mood around the club will skyrocket immediately.

West Ham currently sit 14th in the Premier League with 20 points from 17 games. The Hammers have been one of the most disappointing sides this season, having invested heavily in their squad and appointing a continentally renowned manager, only to regress from where they were last season. Results have stabilised in recent weeks, but West Ham are far from impressive and look on course to finish somewhere in the upper end of the bottom half.

Julen Lopetegui has been under palpable pressure for much of this season for his team's sorry performances and underwhelming results, but as they come into this game unbeaten in their last three, the pressure has been somewhat alleviated. Still, though, the fans will demand more, and if he doesn't deliver, the pressure will quickly return.

In Jarrod Bowen and Mohammed Kudus, West Ham have a pair of very consistent performers who would likely be wanted by most sides in this division. Bowen has four goals and four assists this season, while Kudus, who is a joy to watch, has three goals and one assist - in far fewer minutes than most others, having missed large portions of the campaign.

West Ham have the tools to challenge the top seven, but Lopetegui is struggling to find a way to make his team a reflection of the sum of its parts. He's got time, but things need to keep improving, and regardless of any potential new manager bounce that Southampton might benefit from, the expectation from the fans will no doubt be that Lopetegui's side win on Boxing Day, and nothing less will be accepted.

Where To Watch

This game will be aired live to all subscribed UK viewers on Amazon.

Team News

Southampton Team News:

Southampton welcomed back Aaron Ramsdale at the weekend in what was a huge boost, and he'll continue between the sticks here.

The Saints will be missing Gavin Bazunu, Will Smallbone, Juan Larios and Ross Stewart, and will likely name a somewhat similar lineup to the one that faced Fulham at the weekend.

Predicted lineup: Ramsdale; Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Wood; Sugawara, Downes, Aribo, Walker-Peters; Fernandes; Dibling, Armstrong.

West Ham Team News:

Lucas Paquetá will be unavailable through suspension for the home side, while Michail Antonio continues his recovery from a car accident a couple of weeks back.

Crysencio Summerville could come in for Paquetà, with Mohammed Kudus moving to a move central role.

Predicted lineup: Fabiański; Wan-Bissaka, Mavropanos, Kilman, Emerson; Álvarez; Bowen, Kudus, Souček, Summerville; Füllkrug.

Southampton vs. West Ham - Form Guide

Southampton:

Southampton's form is very poor, with the Saints drawing one and losing three of their last five games. At the weekend, a dogged performance from Simon Rusk's side saw them claim a very valuable 0-0 draw away at Fulham.

That result came after a 1-2 loss to Liverpool in the League Cup, a game where Southampton gave a decent account of themselves despite falling to a defeat, which followed an egregious 0-5 loss to Tottenham Hotspur, where Spurs found themselves 5-0 up at half-time.

Before that, Southampton suffered successive losses at the hands of Aston Villa (1-0) and Chelsea (1-5).

West Ham:

West Ham enter this game having won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five matches. Most recently, West Ham played out a 1-1 draw with Brighton & Hove Albion, where Mohammed Kudus equalised shortly after Brighton had taken an early second half lead.

That followed a decent 1-1 draw at Bournemouth, where despite taking a late lead through a Lucas Paquetá penalty, an even later free-kick forced them to settle for a point.

Prior to that, goals from Tomáš Souček and Jarrod Bowen secured a 2-1 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers, which was preceded by a 3-1 defeat to Leicester City and a 2-5 loss to Arsenal.

Southampton vs. West Ham - Prediction

Despite both teams not being in the greatest of form, Southampton in particular, we are backing the Hammers to come away with a win because of their greater quality in the squad. Southampton are winless in their previous eight, although they did record a draw against a respectable Fulham side at the weekend.

Since the 1-0 win against Everton, the Saints have lost their last four consecutive home games, conceding five on two occasions in the Premier League (Tottenham & Chelsea). West Ham are unbeaten in their last three, following two consecutive draws against Bournemouth (1-1) & Brighton (1-1) & a win over Wolves at home (2-1). Southampton 0-1 West Ham.

Header logoPremier League

PosClubPWDLGDPTS
18
Team logoWolves
173311-1312
19
Team logoIpswich
17269-1612
20
Team logoSouthampton
171313-256
Last updated 23/12/2024

Header logoPremier League

PosClubPWDLGDPTS
13
Team logoMan Utd
17647-122
14
Team logoWest Ham
17557-820
15
Team logoEverton
16376-716
Last updated 23/12/2024

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