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Community Shield: Arsenal vs Manchester City Key Stats, Insights & Markets

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Community Shield Tips

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Bukayo Saka 2+ shots on target in 90mins @ 11/2
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Community Shield: Arsenal vs Manchester City Key Stats, Insights & Markets

Arsenal vs Man City

This Sunday sees the Community Shield, the traditional one-off match that acts as a curtain-raiser to a brand new Premier League and football season, take place, with Arsenal taking on Manchester City at Wembley.

While it is not considered to be a major honour by many and isn’t always indicative of whether or not a club will go on to have a successful season or not, emerging triumphant in the Community Shield is still important for a few reasons – it is a fantastic momentum boost for the winning side heading into the first round of Premier League fixtures.

In the case of an Arsenal win, the early-season psychological boost that the Gunners would get from getting one over the side that they will be fighting for the title with this season could be invaluable in what will be a very tough and difficult title race. And as mentioned, while the Community Shield is not taken totally seriously, its status sitting somewhere between a friendly and an actual competitive match, it is still a piece of silverware, and clubs will still relish any chance to add to their list of honours.

Arsenal have won this particular piece of silverware 16 times in their history, while Manchester City have won the Community Shield six times – both teams will want to increase those figures by winning this weekend. And finally, this one-off match is, for the two teams competing, each club’s first real test after their respective pre-season tours.

Arsenal flew off to the USA while Pep Guardiola’s men jetted off to Japan and South Korea in Asia, and while both clubs did play matches against the likes of Bayern Munich, Manchester United and Atletico Madrid alongside other teams smaller in stature, the Community Shield will be both Arsenal and Manchester City’s first real test against elite opposition in a competitive environment before the Premier League begins.

As previously mentioned, Manchester City have won the Community Shield six times, with their last win coming in 2019. The Citizens beat Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool on penalties after a 1-1 draw in regular time, and they will be hoping to make it their seventh Community Shield win this weekend when they come up against the 16-time winners Arsenal.

City do have a clear edge over the Gunners in terms of recent head-to-head records, with Pep Guardiola’s men having beaten the Gunners in all of their last eight meetings in all competitions. Arsenal’s last win, and incidentally Mikel Arteta’s only win against Man City as Arsenal boss, came in 2020 when Arteta’s men saw off City 2-0 in an FA Cup semi-final, while Arsenal’s last win against City prior to that came yet again in the FA Cup in 2017, with Arsene Wenger’s men emerging triumphant after extra-time via a 2-1 scoreline.

While it is not good reading for Arsenal fans going into this bout, they can take solace in the fact that the last time these two sides met in a Community Shield setting, the Gunners won by a resounding 3-0 scoreline, alongside the fact that City themselves have lost in both of their last two Community Shield appearances. Arsenal themselves last won this trophy in 2020, ironically by beating Liverpool on penalties after the match finished 1-1 in regular time, just like City had done the previous season.

Community Shield Tips

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Gabriel Martinelli and Julian Alvarez Both to Score @ 8/1
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Journey To The Community Shield…

The Community Shield typically pits the winners of the Premier League against whichever club ends up winning the FA Cup. However, in the rare case of the same team winning both of those trophies, like how Manchester City did as part of their historic treble-winning 2022/23 campaign, it means that whichever team finished second in the Premier League (in this case, Arsenal) are the ones selected as the opposition.

Despite Arsenal leading the way at the top of the Premier League for a majority of the season, they slipped up when it mattered and their slip-ups allowed Manchester City to sneak in and they took full advantage – ultimately, Guardiola’s men would end up finishing just five points ahead of Arsenal as they secured a third league title on the bounce. Guardiola’s side secured the FA Cup with a win over city rivals Manchester United on the 3rd of June, and they wrapped up their treble just a week later after scraping past Inter Milan in 2023’s Champions League final.

The Gunners themselves had a somewhat more mixed season, because although they made huge strides in improvements as they finally secured Champions League qualification for the first time in six seasons, they ultimately ended the season trophyless. Arsenal could and probably should have ended 2022/23 with a first Premier League title since their famous ‘Invincibles’ side of 2003/04, but they failed to do so.

Arteta’s men also failed to find any success in any of the domestic cups or in the Europa League, but what more optimistic fans will point out is just how far Arsenal have improved anyhow – nobody expected them to challenge for the league, and yet they did. And now having made further additions to their squad this summer, they will look to go a step further this season. They have the chance to show just how far they have improved this Sunday when they face Manchester City and have the opportunity to put out a real statement with a win.

Odds

Manchester City come into this fixture with odds of 2/5 against their name to emerge as winners of this tie, while Arsenal have been priced at 7/4 to emerge as winners of the tie.

The Gunners have also been given odds of 3/1 to go ‘2 UP’, while the Citizens have been given odds of 4/6 for the same.

Odds of 8/13 have been placed on both teams to score in this match, and considering the firepower in the ranks of these two clubs, that will almost certainly happen.

Erling Haaland has been priced at 8/11 to score anytime during this match, and considering he bagged two against the Gunners in the Premier League last season, he will almost certainly do so again this Sunday.

For Arsenal, the pair of Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka have been priced at 20/1 to both score during this one, and the young pair will be Arsenal’s main goalscoring threats.

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