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Brighton vs Luton Prediction, Tips & Stats

Premier LeagueFull TimeFT
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Brighton & Hove Albion

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    Luton Town

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      Overview

      • (36') S. March
      • (71') João Pedro (PG)
      • (85') S. Adingra
      • (95') E. Ferguson
      Football
      • (81') C. Morris (PG)
      • (7') P. Estupiñán
      • (43') K. Mitoma
      Yellow Card
      • (51') M. Andersen
      • (59') I. Kaboré
          Tom

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          Match Result

          Brighton & Hove Albion

          Manchester City


          41.9%

          Bri

          24.2%

          draw

          72.9%

          Man

          Results display the percentage of matches that have been Won or Drawn in all matches this season in all major Competitions and International Friendlies

          Both Teams To Score

          Brighton & Hove Albion

          Manchester City


          62.8%

          Bri

          64.8%

          combined

          66.7%

          Man

          Results display the percentage of matches that have been BTTS in all matches this season in all major Competitions and International Friendlies

          Over 2.5 Goals

          Brighton & Hove Albion

          Manchester City


          58.1%

          Bri

          61.5%

          combined

          64.6%

          Man

          Results display the percentage of matches that have been Over 2.5 Goals in all matches this season in all major Competitions and International Friendlies

          Brighton vs Luton Prediction, Tips & Stats

          Luton Town begin their first ever Premier League season this weekend as they travel to the Amex stadium where they will attempt to defeat the high-flying Seagulls. Brighton & Hove Albion are heavy favourites going into the tie and Roberto De Zerbi (RDZ) will demand nothing less than three points and a dominant performance. The most recent competitive meeting between the two sides dates way back to 2009 in the EFL Trophy semifinals, where the Hatters progressed on penalties after two draws.

          Brighton & Hove Albion

          Brighton are such an exciting side to watch and unless you are a Crystal Palace fan, it is almost impossible to not enjoy the football they produce. Since taking over the manager role from Graham Potter in October, RDZ has elevated the Seagulls performances to another level. Their fearless approach earned them a European spot for the first time in the clubs history, as they finished in 6th place, a major achievement for the club and even the city.

          When watching the Seagulls, it is clear that attacking is their main priority and the numbers serve as evidence to further back this point. They scored the fourth highest amount of goals last season with an average of 1.89 goals per game. Furthermore, Brighton’s ability to score remained consistent both away from home and when hosting, scoring 35 and 37 respectively. However, they were much more secure defensively at the Amex, which will give the team confidence going into Saturday’s opener. RDZ has also reinforced his squad with astute signings despite Levi Colwill returning to parent club Chelsea and Alexis Mac Allister moving to Liverpool.

          Brighton will dominate the possession and the majority of attacking statistics versus Luton, but it is vital that they turn their opportunities into goals. New £29.5 million signing, Joao Pedro, will certainly help with this, whilst also providing an alternative dimension to the attack in terms of physicality, pace, and power. The Brazilian is also versatile which enables the forwards to be interchangeable, which may be key to unlocking Luton’s inevitable low block set-up.

          Luton Town

          After a successful yet intense ending to the 2022/23 Championship season, the Hatters opening game which starts their life in the Premier League couldn’t be much more difficult. Rob Edward’s goal for the season will be to remain in the English top flight and in order to achieve that, Luton’s defensive resilience must reach high standards. After facing Brighton, their season will be disrupted with a postponed game versus Burnley due to uncertainty that work at Kenilworth Road would be completed in time. This could be negative or positive depending on the result at the Amex, as it could either stop momentum or give Edward’s more time with his squad.

          Luton had the second best away record in the Championship last season, which was mainly due to their impressive defensive record of only conceding 18 goals in 23 matches. The Hatters also won 11 of those away games, highlighting their ability to grind out results which will be vital throughout the Premier League campaign. However, what will concern the Luton faithful is that they haven’t acquired a first choice goalkeeper yet after Ethan Hovarth’s loan deal ended.

          On Saturday, Luton will be prepared to endure long spells without possession which only underlines the importance of being effective and efficient when they do have the ball. A high press on Brighton’s backline and keeper is impossible, which means Luton have to bring physicality and intensity to central areas. However in possession, they will adopt an approach of firing long balls into the channels for last season’s top scorer Carlton Morris and his striker partner Elijah Adebayo, who will both have a major role to play at the weekend by giving the team a continuous out-ball.

          Verdict?

          Brighton are a side that has an abundance of quality and with their never-ending amount of depth, I expected them to be relentless from the first minute to the last. Luton will attempt to harness the Seagulls creativity but it is unclear how much attacking threat they will oppose themselves. Brighton will win this game and if they score early, Luton will have no choice but to commit players forward which only plays into the hands of RDZ.

          The final prediction is Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 Luton Town.

          Brighton & Hove Albion Team News

          Brighton look set to start in their usual fluid 4-2-3-1 with Jason Steele in goal. Their backline will feature captain, Lewis Dunk and Pervis Estupinan. With the future of Moises Caicedo uncertain, Mahmoud Dahoud should make his first Premier League start alongside Billy Gilmour. In attack, Solly March and Kaoru Mitoma should occupy the flanks with Joao Pedro playing just off either Danny Welbeck or Evan Furguson.

          Luton Town Team News

          Matt Macey looks set to be the favoured number one with Luton deploying a 3-5-2 system. Mainstays Tom Lockyer and Amari Bell should feature in the back three alongside recently acquired Mads Juel Andersen. Marvelous Nakamba and Tahiti Chong will start in midfield and we could witness a new wingback pairing of Issa Kabore and Ryan Giles who will need to support the strike duo of Morris and Adebayo.

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